Genuine Parts Valuation
Is GPC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GPC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: GPC * (MX$2556) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$3593.51)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GPC * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPC *?
Key metric: As GPC * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is GPC *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 16.2x |
| Earnings | US$1.09b |
| Market Cap | US$17.64b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does GPC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 16.3x | ||
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de | 6.2x | 5.1% | Mex$141.5b |
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de | 12.8x | n/a | Mex$58.4b |
POOL Pool | 32.1x | 6.2% | US$14.3b |
LKQ LKQ | 14.2x | 14.0% | US$10.2b |
GPC * Genuine Parts | 16.2x | 7.7% | Mex$17.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GPC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does GPC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Retail Distributors Industry?
| 4 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GPC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the Global Retail Distributors industry average (18x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GPC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 16.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GPC *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$2,556.00 | Mex$2,725.81 +6.6% | 4.8% | Mex$2,996.32 | Mex$2,479.72 | n/a | 11 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,658.29 0% | 6.5% | Mex$2,996.03 | Mex$2,396.82 | n/a | 11 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,948.63 0% | 4.5% | Mex$3,157.44 | Mex$2,774.72 | n/a | 11 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,972.04 0% | 4.6% | Mex$3,195.70 | Mex$2,808.35 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,862.28 0% | 5.1% | Mex$3,088.06 | Mex$2,675.48 | n/a | 11 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$3,080.96 0% | 6.6% | Mex$3,379.22 | Mex$2,754.80 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,818.37 0% | 6.6% | Mex$3,091.20 | Mex$2,520.00 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,854.20 0% | 6.6% | Mex$3,131.68 | Mex$2,553.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,552.17 0% | 4.4% | Mex$2,669.89 | Mex$2,336.15 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,656.49 0% | 7.3% | Mex$3,197.36 | Mex$2,393.75 | n/a | 12 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,714.12 0% | 8.7% | Mex$3,325.21 | Mex$2,424.63 | n/a | 13 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,673.31 0% | 8.9% | Mex$3,296.24 | Mex$2,403.51 | n/a | 13 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,676.83 0% | 8.9% | Mex$3,300.58 | Mex$2,406.67 | n/a | 13 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,874.16 0% | 8.8% | Mex$3,500.66 | Mex$2,552.56 | n/a | 13 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,051.20 0% | 7.0% | Mex$3,393.45 | Mex$2,784.37 | n/a | 12 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,989.40 0% | 7.0% | Mex$3,324.71 | Mex$2,727.97 | n/a | 12 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$2,580.00 | Mex$2,964.66 +14.9% | 6.6% | Mex$3,281.60 | Mex$2,692.59 | n/a | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$2,771.03 | Mex$3,041.66 +9.8% | 6.7% | Mex$3,336.84 | Mex$2,703.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$2,565.00 | Mex$3,103.76 +21.0% | 6.2% | Mex$3,422.91 | Mex$2,773.44 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’24 | Mex$3,020.00 | Mex$3,157.06 +4.5% | 6.4% | Mex$3,496.08 | Mex$2,761.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$2,975.00 | Mex$3,134.26 +5.4% | 8.0% | Mex$3,604.48 | Mex$2,667.32 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$3,275.00 | Mex$3,245.89 -0.9% | 8.1% | Mex$3,675.22 | Mex$2,719.66 | n/a | 11 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$3,105.00 | Mex$3,139.51 +1.1% | 7.6% | Mex$3,493.11 | Mex$2,775.61 | n/a | 11 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$3,360.00 | Mex$3,201.49 -4.7% | 8.2% | Mex$3,613.64 | Mex$2,754.18 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$3,515.00 | Mex$3,137.38 -10.7% | 11.0% | Mex$3,580.60 | Mex$2,399.97 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$3,490.00 | Mex$3,112.84 -10.8% | 9.5% | Mex$3,467.52 | Mex$2,456.99 | n/a | 10 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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