Five Below Valuation

Is FIVE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FIVE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FIVE * (MX$1780) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5911.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FIVE * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FIVE *?

Key metric: As FIVE * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FIVE *. This is calculated by dividing FIVE *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is FIVE *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsUS$281.26m
Market CapUS$4.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FIVE *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FIVE * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.5x
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
16.8xn/aMex$27.8b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.2x5.1%Mex$141.6b
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de
12.8xn/aMex$58.4b
GPH 1 Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de
6.3xn/aMex$16.6b
FIVE * Five Below
17x4.4%Mex$4.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FIVE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FIVE *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies82PE01224364860+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FIVE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FIVE *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FIVE * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FIVE *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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