Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Valuation
Is RARE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of RARE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: RARE * (MX$1150.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$8037.54)
Significantly Below Fair Value: RARE * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RARE *?
Key metric: As RARE * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is RARE *'s PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 8.3x |
| Sales | US$522.75m |
| Market Cap | US$4.35b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 8.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -8.9x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does RARE *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 5.3x | ||
LAB B Genomma Lab Internacional. de | 1.4x | 9.9% | Mex$24.0b |
ALKS Alkermes | 3.1x | -0.7% | US$4.8b |
ABCM Abcam | 11.6x | 13.0% | US$5.5b |
301301 Yili Chuanning BiotechnologyLtd | 5.1x | 10.0% | CN¥28.8b |
RARE * Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical | 8.3x | 32.0% | Mex$4.3b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RARE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (5.3x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does RARE *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Biotechs Industry?
| 275 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RARE * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the Global Biotechs industry average (9.1x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is RARE *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 8.3x |
| Fair PS Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RARE *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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