Lonza Group Valuation

Is LONN N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LONN N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LONN N (MX$12817.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$20647.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LONN N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LONN N?

Key metric: As LONN N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LONN N. This is calculated by dividing LONN N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LONN N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio65.7x
EarningsCHF 573.00m
Market CapCHF 37.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LONN N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LONN N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.7x
A Agilent Technologies
27.3x4.1%US$38.5b
IQV IQVIA Holdings
26.4x13.8%US$36.6b
A207940 Samsung BiologicsLtd
64.8x14.6%₩68.2t
MTD Mettler-Toledo International
32.5x7.6%US$25.7b
LONN N Lonza Group
65.7x23.9%Mex$37.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LONN N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65.7x) compared to the peer average (37.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LONN N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Life Sciences Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LONN N 65.7xIndustry Avg. 35.6xNo. of Companies13PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LONN N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65.7x) compared to the Global Life Sciences industry average (35.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LONN N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LONN N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio65.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LONN N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LONN N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$14,471.37
0%
7.9%Mex$17,406.41Mex$12,138.68n/a20
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$14,632.63
0%
7.9%Mex$17,600.38Mex$12,273.95n/a20
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$14,130.63
0%
6.4%Mex$15,848.04Mex$11,999.23n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$13,762.73
0%
7.0%Mex$15,553.39Mex$11,776.14n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$13,183.69
0%
8.0%Mex$15,041.40Mex$10,636.42n/a22
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$12,082.04
0%
9.4%Mex$13,731.46Mex$9,278.02n/a22
Jun ’25Mex$9,175.72
Mex$10,847.45
+18.2%
12.1%Mex$12,316.74Mex$7,051.57n/a22
May ’25n/a
Mex$10,279.98
0%
12.1%Mex$11,805.64Mex$6,810.94n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$10,223.23
0%
12.8%Mex$11,951.62Mex$6,895.16n/a22
Mar ’25Mex$9,010.18
Mex$9,909.10
+10.0%
13.3%Mex$12,380.29Mex$7,116.23n/a20
Feb ’25Mex$8,639.20
Mex$9,864.91
+14.2%
14.0%Mex$11,952.64Mex$7,271.19n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$9,236.83
0%
18.5%Mex$11,914.44Mex$5,361.50n/a19
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$10,175.03
0%
21.9%Mex$13,980.35Mex$7,238.06n/a19
Nov ’24Mex$6,443.40
Mex$10,530.30
+63.4%
20.8%Mex$13,973.98Mex$7,234.75n/a19
Oct ’24Mex$8,073.82
Mex$11,971.94
+48.3%
8.5%Mex$13,452.44Mex$9,807.88n/a17
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$11,954.33
0%
7.3%Mex$13,381.01Mex$10,059.48n/a18
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$12,415.79
0%
6.9%Mex$13,527.64Mex$10,937.24n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$12,993.68
0%
11.1%Mex$17,216.88Mex$11,095.32n/a17
Jun ’24Mex$11,202.69
Mex$12,911.28
+15.3%
16.9%Mex$17,610.66Mex$6,164.71Mex$9,175.7218
May ’24Mex$11,292.50
Mex$13,344.38
+18.2%
17.1%Mex$18,104.82Mex$6,337.69n/a17
Apr ’24Mex$10,584.65
Mex$13,354.78
+26.2%
17.1%Mex$18,135.01Mex$6,348.26n/a17
Mar ’24Mex$11,094.54
Mex$13,014.97
+17.3%
16.6%Mex$17,670.27Mex$6,185.58Mex$9,010.1818
Feb ’24Mex$10,878.14
Mex$13,567.76
+24.7%
18.0%Mex$19,231.20Mex$6,479.99Mex$8,639.2017
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$14,350.88
0%
19.4%Mex$20,339.32Mex$6,640.31n/a16
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$14,247.42
0%
17.8%Mex$19,669.10Mex$6,421.50n/a16
Nov ’23Mex$9,584.47
Mex$14,155.16
+47.7%
18.2%Mex$19,264.51Mex$6,289.41Mex$6,443.4017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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