Roblox Valuation

Is RBLX * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RBLX * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RBLX * (MX$1019) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1813.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RBLX * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RBLX *?

Key metric: As RBLX * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RBLX *. This is calculated by dividing RBLX *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is RBLX *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio9.6x
SalesUS$3.36b
Market CapUS$32.40b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RBLX *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RBLX * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5x
TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software
6.1x14.4%US$33.0b
EA Electronic Arts
5.9x5.4%US$43.7b
9999 NetEase
3.9x7.4%HK$439.5b
SE Sea
4.2x14.9%US$64.9b
RBLX * Roblox
9.6x18.2%Mex$32.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RBLX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RBLX *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Entertainment Industry?

96 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies98PS01.63.24.86.48+
96 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RBLX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.6x) compared to the Global Entertainment industry average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RBLX *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RBLX * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio9.6x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RBLX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RBLX * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,019.00
Mex$1,135.46
+11.4%
18.0%Mex$1,427.20Mex$530.10n/a30
Nov ’25Mex$1,050.00
Mex$1,068.66
+1.8%
19.6%Mex$1,419.36Mex$527.19n/a30
Oct ’25Mex$880.00
Mex$904.99
+2.8%
16.4%Mex$1,177.39Mex$510.20n/a29
Sep ’25Mex$855.00
Mex$880.32
+3.0%
16.2%Mex$1,171.19Mex$507.51n/a29
Aug ’25Mex$704.48
Mex$822.13
+16.7%
17.0%Mex$1,126.33Mex$488.07n/a29
Jul ’25Mex$677.00
Mex$773.31
+14.2%
17.9%Mex$1,108.04Mex$461.68n/a28
Jun ’25Mex$544.95
Mex$710.67
+30.4%
18.3%Mex$1,017.43Mex$423.93n/a28
May ’25Mex$620.00
Mex$853.74
+37.7%
16.5%Mex$1,102.65Mex$491.95n/a29
Apr ’25Mex$629.00
Mex$845.08
+34.4%
16.6%Mex$1,094.16Mex$488.16n/a29
Mar ’25Mex$690.00
Mex$848.56
+23.0%
17.1%Mex$1,108.38Mex$494.51n/a30
Feb ’25Mex$706.00
Mex$775.90
+9.9%
20.2%Mex$1,029.05Mex$445.92n/a30
Jan ’25Mex$790.00
Mex$756.69
-4.2%
22.5%Mex$1,030.07Mex$394.86n/a29
Dec ’24Mex$689.00
Mex$750.70
+9.0%
22.9%Mex$1,033.49Mex$396.17n/a28
Nov ’24Mex$570.00
Mex$709.32
+24.4%
25.0%Mex$1,086.39Mex$416.45Mex$1,050.0030
Oct ’24Mex$488.00
Mex$672.20
+37.7%
25.6%Mex$1,027.57Mex$393.90Mex$880.0029
Sep ’24Mex$488.00
Mex$675.89
+38.5%
26.0%Mex$1,023.08Mex$375.13Mex$855.0027
Aug ’24Mex$656.00
Mex$736.10
+12.2%
26.0%Mex$1,087.98Mex$368.24Mex$704.4827
Jul ’24Mex$704.00
Mex$751.03
+6.7%
26.1%Mex$1,112.85Mex$376.66Mex$677.0027
Jun ’24Mex$750.00
Mex$773.18
+3.1%
27.2%Mex$1,153.80Mex$337.26Mex$544.9526
May ’24Mex$636.00
Mex$795.22
+25.0%
29.5%Mex$1,172.09Mex$342.61Mex$620.0025
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$798.68
0%
29.8%Mex$1,184.72Mex$346.30Mex$629.0025
Mar ’24Mex$660.00
Mex$776.61
+17.7%
31.9%Mex$1,176.69Mex$253.44Mex$690.0025
Feb ’24Mex$666.00
Mex$708.31
+6.4%
37.8%Mex$1,322.09Mex$260.69Mex$706.0026
Jan ’24Mex$526.00
Mex$768.12
+46.0%
34.5%Mex$1,382.07Mex$389.32Mex$790.0025
Dec ’23Mex$575.00
Mex$806.94
+40.3%
31.7%Mex$1,371.20Mex$386.25Mex$689.0023
Nov ’23Mex$880.00
Mex$930.38
+5.7%
30.4%Mex$1,495.72Mex$398.86Mex$570.0023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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