Netflix Valuation
Is NFLX * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of NFLX * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: NFLX * (MX$9817.68) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$8292.96)
Significantly Below Fair Value: NFLX * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFLX *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is NFLX *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$249.64b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 7.4x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 31.5x |
PEG Ratio | 2.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does NFLX *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 40.1x | ||
DIS Walt Disney | 69.8x | 24.5% | US$208.5b |
CIE B Corporación Interamericana de Entretenimiento. de | 10.2x | n/a | Mex$13.1b |
UMG Universal Music Group | 41.8x | 12.9% | €52.7b |
WMG Warner Music Group | 38.4x | 20.3% | US$17.7b |
NFLX * Netflix | 38.8x | 16.3% | Mex$249.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NFLX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x) compared to the peer average (40.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does NFLX *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Entertainment Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFLX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x) compared to the Global Entertainment industry average (22.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is NFLX *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 38.8x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NFLX *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$9,817.68 | Mex$10,855.38 +10.6% | 12.0% | Mex$13,000.49 | Mex$7,477.40 | n/a | 42 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$10,151.83 | Mex$10,087.73 -0.6% | 12.9% | Mex$12,307.31 | Mex$7,068.39 | n/a | 41 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$10,535.00 | Mex$9,880.23 -6.2% | 12.7% | Mex$12,593.76 | Mex$5,701.23 | n/a | 42 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$9,666.00 | Mex$9,747.24 +0.8% | 12.4% | Mex$12,011.09 | Mex$5,748.16 | n/a | 42 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$8,240.11 | Mex$8,004.98 -2.9% | 12.4% | Mex$10,188.06 | Mex$5,688.33 | n/a | 39 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$8,012.73 | Mex$8,004.05 -0.1% | 12.6% | Mex$10,318.20 | Mex$5,761.00 | n/a | 39 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$7,490.33 | Mex$8,329.82 +11.2% | 12.9% | Mex$10,898.46 | Mex$6,084.97 | n/a | 39 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$6,580.00 | Mex$8,158.42 +24.0% | 14.7% | Mex$10,533.12 | Mex$5,705.44 | n/a | 37 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$7,545.00 | Mex$7,697.56 +2.0% | 15.3% | Mex$10,076.04 | Mex$4,920.47 | n/a | 38 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$7,409.00 | Mex$7,771.98 +4.9% | 16.0% | Mex$10,104.42 | Mex$4,934.33 | n/a | 36 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$7,551.77 | Mex$6,850.35 -9.3% | 18.3% | Mex$9,154.92 | Mex$3,935.76 | n/a | 37 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$7,068.00 | Mex$6,476.72 -8.4% | 16.1% | Mex$8,250.10 | Mex$3,773.98 | n/a | 36 |
May ’24 | Mex$5,928.99 | Mex$6,513.70 +9.9% | 15.6% | Mex$7,909.53 | Mex$3,864.88 | Mex$9,481.97 | 37 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$6,226.40 | Mex$6,699.02 +7.6% | 16.3% | Mex$8,244.63 | Mex$4,028.63 | Mex$10,151.83 | 37 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$5,697.49 | Mex$6,840.01 +20.1% | 16.4% | Mex$8,427.72 | Mex$4,118.09 | Mex$10,535.00 | 37 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$6,740.50 | Mex$6,689.95 -0.7% | 16.2% | Mex$8,258.45 | Mex$4,035.38 | Mex$9,666.00 | 37 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$5,715.01 | Mex$6,005.96 +5.1% | 17.9% | Mex$8,021.15 | Mex$3,961.06 | Mex$8,240.11 | 36 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$6,079.00 | Mex$5,642.09 -7.2% | 18.1% | Mex$7,212.90 | Mex$3,115.97 | Mex$8,012.73 | 36 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$5,650.00 | Mex$5,715.30 +1.2% | 19.3% | Mex$7,478.59 | Mex$3,230.75 | Mex$7,490.33 | 36 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$4,709.23 | Mex$5,025.72 +6.7% | 22.3% | Mex$8,029.08 | Mex$3,159.31 | Mex$6,580.00 | 36 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$4,607.99 | Mex$5,030.16 +9.2% | 22.3% | Mex$8,293.53 | Mex$3,263.37 | Mex$7,545.00 | 36 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$4,586.06 | Mex$4,902.99 +6.9% | 22.4% | Mex$8,102.45 | Mex$3,188.18 | Mex$7,409.00 | 36 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$3,640.00 | Mex$5,976.59 +64.2% | 34.5% | Mex$13,532.28 | Mex$3,016.11 | Mex$7,551.77 | 37 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$3,802.82 | Mex$6,309.85 +65.9% | 27.7% | Mex$13,260.46 | Mex$4,334.77 | Mex$7,068.00 | 36 |
May ’23 | Mex$3,903.92 | Mex$6,788.80 +73.9% | 28.1% | Mex$13,582.49 | Mex$4,742.77 | Mex$5,928.99 | 36 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.