Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:ORBIA * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$31.4b

Orbia Advance Corporation. de Valuation

Is ORBIA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORBIA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORBIA * (MX$15.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$39.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORBIA * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORBIA *?

Key metric: As ORBIA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORBIA *. This is calculated by dividing ORBIA *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORBIA *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsUS$137.00m
Market CapUS$1.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORBIA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORBIA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.9x
CYDSASA A Cydsa. de
8.1x20.9%Mex$9.2b
ICH B Industrias CH S. A. B. de C. V
8.6xn/aMex$72.8b
GCC * GCC. de
9.2x-1.6%Mex$60.6b
CMOCTEZ * Corporación Moctezuma. de
9.6x2.5%Mex$64.6b
ORBIA * Orbia Advance Corporation. de
10.5x5.3%Mex$31.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORBIA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (8.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORBIA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Chemicals Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies164PE01632486480+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORBIA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the Global Chemicals industry average (22.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORBIA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORBIA * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio9.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORBIA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORBIA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$15.41
Mex$37.14
+141.0%
51.7%Mex$87.38Mex$16.18n/a15
Dec ’25Mex$18.29
Mex$43.02
+135.2%
47.6%Mex$87.29Mex$20.63n/a14
Nov ’25Mex$18.44
Mex$45.36
+146.0%
42.4%Mex$85.11Mex$22.63n/a14
Oct ’25Mex$19.91
Mex$49.72
+149.7%
39.0%Mex$86.87Mex$22.46n/a14
Sep ’25Mex$21.05
Mex$51.78
+146.0%
34.6%Mex$86.06Mex$30.26n/a14
Aug ’25Mex$23.69
Mex$50.70
+114.0%
32.3%Mex$82.67Mex$35.16n/a14
Jul ’25Mex$25.49
Mex$51.69
+102.8%
30.7%Mex$85.35Mex$34.76n/a13
Jun ’25Mex$27.66
Mex$50.29
+81.8%
26.2%Mex$77.86Mex$35.05n/a12
May ’25Mex$28.14
Mex$53.04
+88.5%
24.7%Mex$79.39Mex$36.95n/a13
Apr ’25Mex$35.10
Mex$54.10
+54.1%
22.6%Mex$77.55Mex$37.40n/a14
Mar ’25Mex$31.83
Mex$55.76
+75.2%
22.0%Mex$79.74Mex$41.57n/a14
Feb ’25Mex$34.26
Mex$55.70
+62.6%
20.8%Mex$83.26Mex$41.32n/a14
Jan ’25Mex$37.62
Mex$56.00
+48.8%
20.8%Mex$83.87Mex$41.62n/a14
Dec ’24Mex$38.04
Mex$56.50
+48.5%
21.0%Mex$84.83Mex$42.10Mex$18.2914
Nov ’24Mex$30.95
Mex$59.05
+90.8%
20.6%Mex$89.01Mex$44.17Mex$18.4414
Oct ’24Mex$36.21
Mex$62.30
+72.0%
22.2%Mex$94.22Mex$42.95Mex$19.9113
Sep ’24Mex$39.14
Mex$60.86
+55.5%
22.1%Mex$91.85Mex$41.87Mex$21.0513
Aug ’24Mex$37.49
Mex$58.89
+57.1%
22.3%Mex$89.65Mex$43.20Mex$23.6913
Jul ’24Mex$36.88
Mex$58.92
+59.8%
22.3%Mex$88.87Mex$44.36Mex$25.4913
Jun ’24Mex$37.03
Mex$59.60
+60.9%
23.1%Mex$88.83Mex$39.96Mex$27.6613
May ’24Mex$41.42
Mex$59.32
+43.2%
22.6%Mex$89.27Mex$40.16Mex$28.1414
Apr ’24Mex$39.18
Mex$58.57
+49.5%
21.5%Mex$88.98Mex$40.83Mex$35.1014
Mar ’24Mex$38.06
Mex$59.55
+56.5%
21.9%Mex$89.71Mex$41.16Mex$31.8314
Feb ’24Mex$38.63
Mex$58.24
+50.8%
20.8%Mex$86.05Mex$38.24Mex$34.2614
Jan ’24Mex$34.50
Mex$59.09
+71.3%
21.5%Mex$89.04Mex$39.57Mex$37.6214
Dec ’23Mex$38.25
Mex$58.45
+52.8%
16.6%Mex$74.27Mex$40.22Mex$38.0415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 01:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 26 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Federico Robinson Bours CarrilloActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Gilberto GarciaBarclays
Pablo Monsivais MendozaBarclays