Stock Analysis

At Mex$11.70, Is It Time To Put CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CEMEXCPO) On Your Watch List?

BMV:CEMEX CPO
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CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CEMEXCPO), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BMV over the last few months, increasing to Mex$14.01 at one point, and dropping to the lows of Mex$10.67. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether CEMEX. de's current trading price of Mex$11.70 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at CEMEX. de’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for CEMEX. de

Is CEMEX. de Still Cheap?

According to my valuation model, CEMEX. de seems to be fairly priced at around 8.0% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy CEMEX. de today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is MX$12.71, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since CEMEX. de’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of CEMEX. de look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BMV:CEMEX CPO Earnings and Revenue Growth November 5th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for CEMEX. de. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in CEMEX CPO’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CEMEX CPO, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing CEMEX. de at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that CEMEX. de has 4 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.