Stock Analysis

Does Compañía Minera Autlán. de (BMV:AUTLANB) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BMV:AUTLAN B
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Compañía Minera Autlán, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:AUTLANB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Compañía Minera Autlán. de's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Compañía Minera Autlán. de had US$189.0m of debt at December 2024, down from US$202.3m a year prior. However, it does have US$44.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$144.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:AUTLAN B Debt to Equity History April 8th 2025

A Look At Compañía Minera Autlán. de's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Compañía Minera Autlán. de had liabilities of US$135.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$243.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$44.6m as well as receivables valued at US$73.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$260.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$86.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Compañía Minera Autlán. de would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

Check out our latest analysis for Compañía Minera Autlán. de

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Compañía Minera Autlán. de's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.22, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, the silver lining was that Compañía Minera Autlán. de achieved a positive EBIT of US$4.9m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Compañía Minera Autlán. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Compañía Minera Autlán. de actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Compañía Minera Autlán. de's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Compañía Minera Autlán. de's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Compañía Minera Autlán. de (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.