Church & Dwight Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CHD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CHD * (MX$2067.9) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$2090.17)

Is CHD * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHD * (MX$2067.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2090.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHD * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHD *?

Key metric: As CHD * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHD *. This is calculated by dividing CHD *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHD *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	49.6x
Earnings	US$549.80m
Market Cap	US$27.27b

CHD * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	21.7x
PEG Ratio	2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHD *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHD * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	26.3x
KIMBER A Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V	10.6x	3.3%	Mex$85.5b
HEN3 Henkel KGaA	18.4x	6.5%	€30.7b
ESSITY B Essity	17.7x	6.0%	SEK 208.1b
CLX Clorox	58.6x	20.3%	US$20.8b
CHD * Church & Dwight	49.6x	18.0%	Mex$27.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.6x) compared to the peer average (26.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHD *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.6x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHD *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHD * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	49.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CHD *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHD * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	Mex$2,170.53 0%	11.2%	Mex$2,528.19	Mex$1,386.42	n/a	23
Nov ’25	n/a	Mex$2,148.91 0%	10.9%	Mex$2,514.30	Mex$1,378.81	n/a	23
Oct ’25	n/a	Mex$2,064.28 0%	10.8%	Mex$2,362.56	Mex$1,338.78	n/a	23
Sep ’25	Mex$1,997.50	Mex$1,960.94 -1.8%	10.7%	Mex$2,184.78	Mex$1,280.73	n/a	22
Aug ’25	Mex$1,838.85	Mex$1,998.32 +8.7%	11.3%	Mex$2,175.14	Mex$1,275.08	n/a	22
Jul ’25	Mex$1,929.31	Mex$1,916.96 -0.6%	11.7%	Mex$2,156.06	Mex$1,221.77	n/a	21
Jun ’25	Mex$1,771.50	Mex$1,779.22 +0.4%	12.1%	Mex$2,021.23	Mex$1,145.36	n/a	19
May ’25	Mex$1,809.03	Mex$1,762.39 -2.6%	11.3%	Mex$2,048.89	Mex$1,143.96	n/a	20
Apr ’25	Mex$1,577.95	Mex$1,704.70 +8.0%	11.0%	Mex$1,918.98	Mex$1,127.82	n/a	20
Mar ’25	Mex$1,709.00	Mex$1,716.67 +0.4%	11.3%	Mex$1,906.08	Mex$1,089.19	n/a	20
Feb ’25	Mex$1,729.75	Mex$1,658.62 -4.1%	11.1%	Mex$1,856.28	Mex$1,100.02	n/a	20
Jan ’25	Mex$1,570.00	Mex$1,639.53 +4.4%	11.0%	Mex$1,854.13	Mex$1,098.75	n/a	20
Dec ’24	Mex$1,665.56	Mex$1,675.30 +0.6%	11.4%	Mex$1,906.06	Mex$1,129.52	n/a	20
Nov ’24	n/a	Mex$1,736.46 0%	12.6%	Mex$2,058.10	Mex$1,101.26	n/a	19
Oct ’24	Mex$1,623.17	Mex$1,723.18 +6.2%	12.2%	Mex$1,998.61	Mex$1,069.43	n/a	19
Sep ’24	Mex$1,604.00	Mex$1,642.26 +2.4%	12.6%	Mex$1,912.01	Mex$1,023.09	Mex$1,997.50	18
Aug ’24	n/a	Mex$1,617.70 0%	12.6%	Mex$1,908.86	Mex$1,021.41	Mex$1,838.85	18
Jul ’24	n/a	Mex$1,619.94 0%	11.7%	Mex$1,848.10	Mex$1,043.83	Mex$1,929.31	18
Jun ’24	Mex$1,622.53	Mex$1,671.58 +3.0%	12.0%	Mex$1,956.36	Mex$1,075.12	Mex$1,771.50	19
May ’24	n/a	Mex$1,690.95 0%	11.8%	Mex$1,990.07	Mex$1,093.64	Mex$1,809.03	19
Apr ’24	n/a	Mex$1,579.06 0%	9.8%	Mex$1,806.24	Mex$1,117.26	Mex$1,577.95	20
Mar ’24	n/a	Mex$1,559.33 0%	10.1%	Mex$1,780.52	Mex$1,064.64	Mex$1,709.00	20
Feb ’24	Mex$1,519.75	Mex$1,573.95 +3.6%	10.5%	Mex$1,826.46	Mex$1,092.11	Mex$1,729.75	19
Jan ’24	n/a	Mex$1,597.33 0%	8.8%	Mex$1,779.20	Mex$1,146.60	Mex$1,570.00	19
Dec ’23	n/a	Mex$1,565.39 0%	8.9%	Mex$1,739.46	Mex$1,131.04	Mex$1,665.56	19
Nov ’23	n/a	Mex$1,594.75 0%	9.0%	Mex$1,803.11	Mex$1,169.05	n/a	19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.