HCA Healthcare, Inc.

BMV:HCA * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.7t

HCA Healthcare Valuation

Is HCA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HCA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$10.50k
Fair Value
36.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: HCA * (MX$6645) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$10502.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HCA * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HCA *?

Key metric: As HCA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HCA *. This is calculated by dividing HCA *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is HCA *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.2x
EarningsUS$5.76b
Market CapUS$81.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HCA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HCA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.6x
MEDICA B Médica Sur. de
9.9x11.3%Mex$3.7b
4013 Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group
46.7x13.7%ر.س103.9b
300015 Aier Eye Hospital Group
33.6x13.8%CN¥121.9b
THC Tenet Healthcare
4.3x-30.2%US$13.3b
HCA * HCA Healthcare
14.2x6.4%Mex$81.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HCA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (23.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HCA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Healthcare Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies70PE01632486480+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HCA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the Global Healthcare industry average (20.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HCA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HCA * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HCA *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HCA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$6,645.00
Mex$7,699.33
+15.9%
9.3%Mex$8,941.55Mex$6,450.98n/a23
Feb ’26Mex$6,930.70
Mex$7,814.40
+12.8%
9.3%Mex$9,075.18Mex$6,547.39n/a23
Jan ’26Mex$6,171.59
Mex$8,052.10
+30.5%
10.0%Mex$9,286.85Mex$6,379.66n/a23
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$8,210.07
0%
8.8%Mex$9,343.75Mex$6,418.75n/a23
Nov ’25Mex$7,184.00
Mex$8,154.02
+13.5%
7.7%Mex$9,213.66Mex$6,329.39n/a24
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$7,877.60
0%
7.5%Mex$9,037.67Mex$6,276.71n/a24
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$7,651.14
0%
6.5%Mex$8,602.10Mex$6,206.08n/a23
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$7,138.56
0%
5.8%Mex$7,696.56Mex$5,931.98n/a23
Jul ’25Mex$6,147.32
Mex$6,459.66
+5.1%
7.7%Mex$7,263.31Mex$5,214.22n/a23
Jun ’25Mex$5,200.00
Mex$5,926.24
+14.0%
7.0%Mex$6,730.46Mex$4,843.89n/a23
May ’25Mex$5,178.31
Mex$5,847.78
+12.9%
6.8%Mex$6,433.56Mex$4,850.70n/a23
Apr ’25Mex$5,475.92
Mex$5,611.32
+2.5%
6.1%Mex$6,283.95Mex$4,737.90n/a23
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$5,649.13
0%
7.9%Mex$6,341.91Mex$4,273.53n/a22
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$5,420.01
0%
10.0%Mex$6,151.14Mex$4,271.63Mex$6,930.7020
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$4,942.07
0%
8.2%Mex$5,802.75Mex$4,291.98Mex$6,171.5921
Dec ’24Mex$4,352.94
Mex$4,849.38
+11.4%
6.2%Mex$5,425.84Mex$4,306.23n/a21
Nov ’24Mex$4,032.82
Mex$5,141.12
+27.5%
6.0%Mex$5,686.85Mex$4,585.59Mex$7,184.0021
Oct ’24Mex$4,371.03
Mex$5,433.05
+24.3%
6.9%Mex$5,994.14Mex$4,452.79n/a21
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$5,436.26
0%
6.7%Mex$5,984.16Mex$4,445.38n/a22
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$5,290.28
0%
6.9%Mex$5,838.49Mex$4,337.16n/a22
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$5,386.42
0%
6.9%Mex$5,991.83Mex$4,451.07Mex$6,147.3222
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$5,491.40
0%
6.8%Mex$6,180.93Mex$4,591.55Mex$5,200.0022
May ’24Mex$5,086.00
Mex$5,519.83
+8.5%
7.6%Mex$6,292.97Mex$4,674.77Mex$5,178.3122
Apr ’24Mex$4,627.31
Mex$5,171.51
+11.8%
6.5%Mex$5,707.07Mex$4,399.97Mex$5,475.9222
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$5,171.51
0%
6.5%Mex$5,707.07Mex$4,399.97n/a22
Feb ’24Mex$4,780.00
Mex$5,158.02
+7.9%
7.0%Mex$5,772.51Mex$4,375.94n/a22
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Mex$7.78k
Fair Value
14.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/08 20:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HCA Healthcare, Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jasper HellwegArgus Research Company
Hua HaBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research