Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd.

SZSE:300015 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥120.0b

Aier Eye Hospital Group Valuation

Is 300015 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300015 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300015 (CN¥12.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥15.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300015 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300015?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

300015 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.1x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300015's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300015 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average66.3x
301267 Huaxia Eye Hospital GroupLtd
32.5x22.2%CN¥21.8b
301293 Sanbo Hospital Management Group
112xn/aCN¥9.7b
301239 Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital
59.9x60.3%CN¥7.3b
300143 INKON Life Technology
60.7x28.5%CN¥5.3b
300015 Aier Eye Hospital Group
34.5x18.2%CN¥120.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300015 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the peer average (66.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300015's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300015 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the CN Healthcare industry average (32.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300015's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300015 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.5x
Fair PE Ratio31x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300015 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300015 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥12.90
CN¥19.23
+49.1%
26.5%CN¥31.87CN¥13.50n/a13
Apr ’25CN¥13.13
CN¥23.26
+77.2%
15.3%CN¥31.87CN¥18.70n/a13
Mar ’25CN¥14.45
CN¥23.52
+62.8%
15.1%CN¥31.87CN¥18.70n/a14
Feb ’25CN¥13.03
CN¥23.80
+82.7%
12.7%CN¥28.80CN¥18.70n/a13
Jan ’25CN¥15.82
CN¥24.37
+54.0%
10.0%CN¥28.80CN¥20.00n/a13
Dec ’24CN¥17.00
CN¥25.52
+50.1%
13.5%CN¥35.00CN¥21.00n/a13
Nov ’24CN¥18.42
CN¥25.52
+38.5%
13.5%CN¥35.00CN¥21.00n/a13
Oct ’24CN¥17.97
CN¥26.89
+49.6%
11.8%CN¥35.00CN¥22.00n/a13
Sep ’24CN¥18.30
CN¥27.12
+48.2%
11.1%CN¥35.00CN¥22.00n/a13
Aug ’24CN¥20.03
CN¥30.42
+51.9%
11.8%CN¥36.30CN¥26.00n/a12
Jul ’24CN¥18.55
CN¥30.26
+63.1%
10.3%CN¥36.30CN¥26.00n/a12
Jun ’24CN¥20.95
CN¥30.80
+47.0%
9.8%CN¥36.92CN¥26.84n/a12
May ’24CN¥22.66
CN¥30.89
+36.3%
9.7%CN¥36.92CN¥26.84CN¥12.9012
Apr ’24CN¥23.90
CN¥31.24
+30.7%
13.0%CN¥38.46CN¥23.08CN¥13.1313
Feb ’24CN¥26.04
CN¥30.85
+18.5%
12.5%CN¥37.46CN¥23.08CN¥13.0313
Jan ’24CN¥23.90
CN¥30.10
+26.0%
13.7%CN¥37.46CN¥23.08CN¥15.8213
Dec ’23CN¥21.78
CN¥30.16
+38.5%
14.2%CN¥37.46CN¥23.08CN¥17.0012
Nov ’23CN¥20.04
CN¥30.92
+54.3%
12.4%CN¥37.46CN¥26.15CN¥18.4211
Oct ’23CN¥22.05
CN¥31.39
+42.3%
13.3%CN¥37.46CN¥26.15CN¥17.9711
Sep ’23CN¥22.36
CN¥31.88
+42.6%
12.1%CN¥37.46CN¥27.24CN¥18.3011
Aug ’23CN¥24.52
CN¥32.12
+31.0%
13.7%CN¥39.37CN¥27.24CN¥20.0310
Jul ’23CN¥25.84
CN¥31.93
+23.5%
19.7%CN¥42.75CN¥21.91CN¥18.5511
Jun ’23CN¥21.67
CN¥32.45
+49.8%
19.6%CN¥42.75CN¥21.91CN¥20.9510
May ’23CN¥21.27
CN¥32.40
+52.3%
19.8%CN¥42.75CN¥21.91CN¥22.6610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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