Centene Valuation
Is CNC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CNC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CNC * (MX$1188) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4430.36)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CNC * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNC *?
Key metric: As CNC * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CNC *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 9.9x |
| Earnings | US$3.07b |
| Market Cap | US$30.48b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.7x |
| PEG Ratio | 2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CNC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 35.4x | ||
HUM Humana | 26.4x | 11.6% | US$35.9b |
MOH Molina Healthcare | 14.5x | 14.8% | US$16.6b |
ELV Elevance Health | 14.5x | 12.7% | US$93.4b |
HQY HealthEquity | 86.1x | 32.1% | US$9.1b |
CNC * Centene | 9.9x | 4.9% | Mex$30.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (35.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CNC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Healthcare Industry?
| 11 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the Global Healthcare industry average (20.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CNC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 9.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CNC *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$1,188.00 | Mex$1,660.10 +39.7% | 10.4% | Mex$1,929.97 | Mex$1,340.82 | n/a | 17 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$1,260.00 | Mex$1,682.83 +33.6% | 9.7% | Mex$1,916.39 | Mex$1,331.39 | n/a | 17 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$1,450.00 | Mex$1,678.36 +15.7% | 8.1% | Mex$1,888.94 | Mex$1,402.10 | n/a | 17 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,639.67 0% | 8.5% | Mex$1,869.53 | Mex$1,411.68 | n/a | 17 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$1,298.00 | Mex$1,594.84 +22.9% | 7.9% | Mex$1,783.35 | Mex$1,389.14 | n/a | 17 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,611.31 0% | 9.3% | Mex$2,025.28 | Mex$1,399.28 | n/a | 18 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,502.68 0% | 9.7% | Mex$1,866.23 | Mex$1,289.39 | n/a | 18 |
| May ’25 | Mex$1,245.00 | Mex$1,507.46 +21.1% | 10.1% | Mex$1,883.95 | Mex$1,255.39 | n/a | 17 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,489.63 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,840.75 | Mex$1,226.61 | n/a | 17 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$1,321.35 | Mex$1,512.08 +14.4% | 10.0% | Mex$1,880.35 | Mex$1,253.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$1,287.96 | Mex$1,471.91 +14.3% | 10.0% | Mex$1,856.26 | Mex$1,236.94 | n/a | 17 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,464.03 0% | 9.7% | Mex$1,873.55 | Mex$1,248.47 | n/a | 16 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$1,270.70 | Mex$1,450.93 +14.2% | 10.8% | Mex$1,921.04 | Mex$1,257.41 | n/a | 16 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,498.61 0% | 10.8% | Mex$1,983.28 | Mex$1,298.15 | Mex$1,260.00 | 16 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,396.63 0% | 10.9% | Mex$1,883.87 | Mex$1,215.95 | Mex$1,450.00 | 18 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$1,041.07 | Mex$1,377.75 +32.3% | 10.3% | Mex$1,843.59 | Mex$1,189.95 | n/a | 19 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,397.80 0% | 10.1% | Mex$1,841.88 | Mex$1,188.85 | Mex$1,298.00 | 19 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,443.15 0% | 10.0% | Mex$1,893.11 | Mex$1,221.92 | n/a | 20 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,513.32 0% | 9.2% | Mex$1,958.30 | Mex$1,263.99 | n/a | 19 |
| May ’24 | Mex$1,200.00 | Mex$1,534.69 +27.9% | 10.0% | Mex$1,972.15 | Mex$1,272.93 | Mex$1,245.00 | 19 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,666.48 0% | 11.0% | Mex$2,048.31 | Mex$1,322.09 | n/a | 19 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,685.49 0% | 9.2% | Mex$2,012.82 | Mex$1,445.57 | Mex$1,321.35 | 18 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$1,426.00 | Mex$1,865.22 +30.8% | 7.6% | Mex$2,078.30 | Mex$1,605.96 | Mex$1,287.96 | 18 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$1,588.77 | Mex$1,936.25 +21.9% | 8.1% | Mex$2,226.69 | Mex$1,645.81 | n/a | 18 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$1,637.17 | Mex$1,997.19 +22.0% | 6.6% | Mex$2,267.79 | Mex$1,715.63 | Mex$1,270.70 | 18 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$1,657.14 | Mex$1,997.19 +20.5% | 6.6% | Mex$2,267.79 | Mex$1,715.63 | n/a | 18 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.