PBF Energy Inc.

BMV:PBF * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$73.8b

PBF Energy Valuation

Is PBF * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PBF * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PBF * (MX$631) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1938.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PBF * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PBF *?

Key metric: As PBF * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PBF *. This is calculated by dividing PBF *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is PBF *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesUS$34.90b
Market CapUS$3.65b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PBF *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PBF * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
VISTA A Vista Energy. de
3.2x21.6%Mex$95.9b
5021 Cosmo Energy Holdings
0.2x0.2%JP¥563.5b
PKI Parkland
0.2x2.2%CA$5.9b
CSAN3 Cosan
0.3x27.8%R$13.0b
PBF * PBF Energy
0.1x-2.8%Mex$3.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PBF * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PBF *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a3.2%
PBF * PBF Energy
 0.1x-2.8%US$3.65b
No. of Companies3PS01.22.43.64.86+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.8%
PBF * PBF Energy
 0.1x53.4%US$3.65b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PBF * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PBF *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PBF * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PBF *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PBF * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$631.00
Mex$650.79
+3.1%
16.4%Mex$807.67Mex$504.79n/a13
Nov ’25Mex$588.79
Mex$662.89
+12.6%
16.3%Mex$811.06Mex$506.92n/a13
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$785.88
0%
22.6%Mex$1,043.46Mex$492.20n/a12
Sep ’25Mex$669.48
Mex$862.95
+28.9%
11.0%Mex$1,007.04Mex$665.02n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$891.67
0%
12.5%Mex$1,070.01Mex$657.02n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$968.77
0%
15.8%Mex$1,212.11Mex$679.52n/a12
Jun ’25Mex$788.49
Mex$950.47
+20.5%
11.9%Mex$1,138.74Mex$764.82n/a13
May ’25n/a
Mex$1,008.59
0%
9.9%Mex$1,217.41Mex$823.04n/a14
Apr ’25Mex$949.99
Mex$895.54
-5.7%
14.2%Mex$1,081.05Mex$648.63n/a13
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$867.12
0%
13.2%Mex$1,094.28Mex$666.83n/a14
Feb ’25Mex$878.00
Mex$854.06
-2.7%
16.1%Mex$1,152.67Mex$602.14n/a14
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$910.40
0%
15.2%Mex$1,150.89Mex$687.10n/a13
Dec ’24Mex$789.00
Mex$959.82
+21.6%
14.1%Mex$1,182.46Mex$705.95n/a13
Nov ’24Mex$847.00
Mex$1,003.42
+18.5%
13.4%Mex$1,190.85Mex$732.83Mex$588.7913
Oct ’24Mex$933.00
Mex$971.39
+4.1%
14.6%Mex$1,141.09Mex$702.21n/a12
Sep ’24Mex$798.84
Mex$873.08
+9.3%
14.0%Mex$1,059.66Mex$615.29Mex$669.4812
Aug ’24Mex$786.00
Mex$791.51
+0.7%
11.8%Mex$976.76Mex$606.27n/a13
Jul ’24Mex$725.00
Mex$804.62
+11.0%
13.0%Mex$1,044.29Mex$616.30n/a13
Jun ’24Mex$659.00
Mex$829.06
+25.8%
13.4%Mex$1,070.76Mex$631.92Mex$788.4913
May ’24Mex$655.00
Mex$950.55
+45.1%
15.4%Mex$1,342.77Mex$780.26n/a13
Apr ’24Mex$781.36
Mex$966.21
+23.7%
15.1%Mex$1,339.33Mex$760.16Mex$949.9913
Mar ’24Mex$840.00
Mex$931.14
+10.9%
16.7%Mex$1,284.91Mex$660.81n/a11
Feb ’24Mex$762.29
Mex$886.38
+16.3%
21.4%Mex$1,313.15Mex$544.02Mex$878.0012
Jan ’24Mex$786.00
Mex$915.72
+16.5%
21.4%Mex$1,344.35Mex$526.05n/a12
Dec ’23Mex$827.00
Mex$935.06
+13.1%
17.7%Mex$1,332.58Mex$675.94Mex$789.0012
Nov ’23Mex$905.00
Mex$914.76
+1.1%
14.7%Mex$1,169.05Mex$693.50Mex$847.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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