Ovintiv Valuation

Is OVV * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OVV * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OVV * (MX$795.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1206.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OVV * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OVV *?

Key metric: As OVV * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OVV *. This is calculated by dividing OVV *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is OVV *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.7x
EarningsUS$2.04b
Market CapUS$11.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OVV *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OVV * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
VISTA A Vista Energy. de
9.2x14.6%Mex$95.2b
ARX ARC Resources
12x13.2%CA$15.2b
APA APA
3.6x-10.7%US$8.1b
TOU Tourmaline Oil
14.9x25.5%CA$23.3b
OVV * Ovintiv
5.7x-12.2%Mex$11.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OVV * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OVV *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies86PE0816243240+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OVV * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OVV *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OVV * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OVV *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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