Murphy Oil Valuation
Is MUR * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MUR * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MUR * (MX$693.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1823.49)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MUR * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MUR *?
Key metric: As MUR * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MUR *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 10.3x |
| Earnings | US$475.97m |
| Market Cap | US$4.90b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 4x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MUR *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 25.5x | ||
VISTA A Vista Energy. de | 9.2x | 14.6% | Mex$95.9b |
MEG MEG Energy | 13.3x | -1.3% | CA$6.8b |
HBR Harbour Energy | 47.9x | 14.4% | UK£3.7b |
PSK PrairieSky Royalty | 31.6x | 2.1% | CA$7.1b |
MUR * Murphy Oil | 10.3x | 12.7% | Mex$4.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MUR * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (25.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MUR *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?
| 27 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MUR * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MUR *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 10.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MUR *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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