ConocoPhillips Valuation
Is COP * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of COP * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: COP * (MX$2206.07) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1364.59)
Significantly Below Fair Value: COP * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COP *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is COP *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$152.52b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.7x |
| PEG Ratio | -35.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does COP *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 10.7x | ||
VISTA A Vista Energy. de | 12x | 27.8% | Mex$71.4b |
883 CNOOC | 6.6x | -1.9% | HK$974.1b |
EOG EOG Resources | 10.3x | -4.6% | US$78.1b |
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources | 13.9x | 4.4% | CA$114.2b |
COP * ConocoPhillips | 14x | -0.4% | Mex$152.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does COP *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (9.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is COP *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 14x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COP *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$2,206.07 | Mex$2,433.32 +10.3% | 8.7% | Mex$2,846.34 | Mex$1,920.42 | n/a | 28 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$2,141.99 | Mex$2,250.77 +5.1% | 9.6% | Mex$2,875.99 | Mex$1,679.04 | n/a | 27 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$1,935.00 | Mex$2,301.33 +18.9% | 9.8% | Mex$2,957.28 | Mex$1,726.50 | n/a | 28 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$1,906.30 | Mex$2,311.44 +21.3% | 10.0% | Mex$2,967.09 | Mex$1,732.23 | n/a | 28 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,319.36 0% | 9.2% | Mex$2,784.74 | Mex$1,714.99 | n/a | 28 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$2,005.71 | Mex$2,395.21 +19.4% | 9.3% | Mex$2,839.43 | Mex$1,696.73 | n/a | 28 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$2,121.00 | Mex$2,466.59 +16.3% | 10.7% | Mex$2,969.47 | Mex$1,774.44 | n/a | 26 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$2,170.00 | Mex$2,296.80 +5.8% | 10.6% | Mex$2,788.96 | Mex$1,708.24 | n/a | 26 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$1,966.50 | Mex$2,186.75 +11.2% | 10.0% | Mex$2,566.12 | Mex$1,643.66 | n/a | 26 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$1,932.85 | Mex$2,143.24 +10.9% | 10.9% | Mex$2,574.79 | Mex$1,581.90 | n/a | 25 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$1,753.03 | Mex$2,210.48 +26.1% | 12.4% | Mex$2,824.72 | Mex$1,609.23 | n/a | 24 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$1,736.00 | Mex$2,274.85 +31.0% | 13.1% | Mex$2,896.31 | Mex$1,650.02 | n/a | 25 |
| May ’24 | Mex$1,842.11 | Mex$2,330.86 +26.5% | 13.0% | Mex$3,003.14 | Mex$1,654.43 | n/a | 26 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$1,786.00 | Mex$2,391.30 +33.9% | 12.5% | Mex$2,788.64 | Mex$1,585.70 | Mex$2,141.99 | 25 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$1,910.00 | Mex$2,456.53 +28.6% | 12.4% | Mex$2,940.18 | Mex$1,690.60 | Mex$1,935.00 | 26 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$2,173.75 | Mex$2,550.36 +17.3% | 11.7% | Mex$2,979.36 | Mex$1,787.62 | Mex$1,906.30 | 26 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$2,295.00 | Mex$2,745.60 +19.6% | 12.2% | Mex$3,307.49 | Mex$1,901.31 | n/a | 27 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$2,394.23 | Mex$2,672.92 +11.6% | 13.1% | Mex$3,232.02 | Mex$1,857.93 | Mex$2,005.71 | 27 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$2,542.53 | Mex$2,583.41 +1.6% | 12.4% | Mex$3,328.29 | Mex$1,733.90 | Mex$2,121.00 | 28 |
| Oct ’23 | Mex$2,070.17 | Mex$2,502.64 +20.9% | 9.9% | Mex$3,086.50 | Mex$1,936.63 | Mex$2,170.00 | 26 |
| Sep ’23 | Mex$2,175.81 | Mex$2,458.80 +13.0% | 9.5% | Mex$3,082.12 | Mex$1,933.88 | Mex$1,966.50 | 26 |
| Aug ’23 | Mex$1,945.00 | Mex$2,501.13 +28.6% | 9.6% | Mex$3,029.38 | Mex$1,965.00 | Mex$1,932.85 | 26 |
| Jul ’23 | Mex$1,829.88 | Mex$2,577.23 +40.8% | 10.8% | Mex$3,221.54 | Mex$1,932.92 | Mex$1,753.03 | 25 |
| Jun ’23 | Mex$2,292.50 | Mex$2,486.58 +8.5% | 11.3% | Mex$3,152.56 | Mex$1,891.54 | Mex$1,736.00 | 25 |
| May ’23 | Mex$1,976.00 | Mex$2,480.29 +25.5% | 13.3% | Mex$3,231.55 | Mex$1,615.78 | Mex$1,842.11 | 26 |
| Apr ’23 | Mex$1,999.95 | Mex$2,267.30 +13.4% | 12.4% | Mex$2,978.37 | Mex$1,588.46 | Mex$1,786.00 | 26 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.