ConocoPhillips

BMV:COP * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$2.3t

ConocoPhillips Valuation

Is COP * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of COP * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: COP * (MX$1914.11) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (MX$3734.68)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: COP * is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COP *?

Key metric: As COP * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COP *. This is calculated by dividing COP *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is COP *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.1x
EarningsUS$7.99b
Market CapUS$136.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COP *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COP * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
VISTA A Vista Energy. de
7.7x2.39%Mex$96.0b
883 CNOOC
8.3x1.72%HK$1.2t
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources
17.3x1.56%CA$115.4b
EOG EOG Resources
11.8x2.74%US$65.5b
COP * ConocoPhillips
17.1x10.48%Mex$136.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COP *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

33 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
COP * 17.1xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies65PE0816243240+
33 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COP * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COP *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COP * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COP *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COP * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,914.11
Mex$1,984.79
+3.69%
8.24%Mex$2,282.23Mex$1,681.64n/a27
Feb ’27Mex$1,812.75
Mex$1,982.56
+9.37%
7.95%Mex$2,306.44Mex$1,712.35n/a28
Jan ’27Mex$1,684.00
Mex$2,018.18
+19.84%
7.75%Mex$2,354.25Mex$1,761.20n/a28
Dec ’26Mex$1,620.00
Mex$2,065.97
+27.53%
7.26%Mex$2,398.10Mex$1,794.00n/a28
Nov ’26Mex$1,650.00
Mex$2,101.87
+27.39%
7.09%Mex$2,401.57Mex$1,810.41n/a28
Oct ’26Mex$1,749.00
Mex$2,134.16
+22.02%
6.72%Mex$2,515.51Mex$1,836.14n/a26
Sep ’26Mex$1,811.10
Mex$2,176.26
+20.16%
6.83%Mex$2,556.68Mex$1,866.19n/a26
Aug ’26Mex$1,797.00
Mex$2,202.17
+22.55%
7.68%Mex$2,622.07Mex$1,886.38n/a27
Jul ’26Mex$1,725.00
Mex$2,178.43
+26.29%
8.24%Mex$2,646.26Mex$1,782.94n/a29
Jun ’26Mex$1,655.50
Mex$2,261.62
+36.61%
8.67%Mex$2,715.73Mex$1,842.82n/a29
May ’26Mex$1,765.13
Mex$2,302.68
+30.45%
7.85%Mex$2,744.36Mex$1,862.25n/a28
Apr ’26Mex$2,154.72
Mex$2,613.71
+21.30%
8.60%Mex$3,354.66Mex$2,317.77n/a29
Mar ’26Mex$1,975.00
Mex$2,653.32
+34.35%
8.19%Mex$3,377.42Mex$2,333.49n/a29
Feb ’26Mex$2,080.00
Mex$2,734.36
+31.46%
9.40%Mex$3,418.73Mex$2,362.03Mex$1,812.7529
Jan ’26n/a
Mex$2,744.28
0%
9.71%Mex$3,408.11Mex$2,354.69Mex$1,684.0028
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$2,689.16
0%
8.53%Mex$3,067.19Mex$2,315.63Mex$1,620.0026
Nov ’25Mex$2,078.50
Mex$2,678.16
+28.85%
8.66%Mex$3,061.77Mex$2,293.69Mex$1,650.0026
Oct ’25Mex$1,955.00
Mex$2,648.13
+35.45%
9.07%Mex$3,169.77Mex$2,227.11Mex$1,749.0026
Sep ’25Mex$2,125.00
Mex$2,691.79
+26.67%
8.65%Mex$3,112.47Mex$2,203.86Mex$1,811.1026
Aug ’25Mex$2,036.00
Mex$2,626.82
+29.02%
8.95%Mex$3,022.31Mex$2,102.48Mex$1,797.0026
Jul ’25Mex$2,045.00
Mex$2,583.83
+26.35%
9.18%Mex$3,011.24Mex$2,031.68Mex$1,725.0025
Jun ’25Mex$1,998.00
Mex$2,410.46
+20.64%
8.94%Mex$2,816.31Mex$1,900.16Mex$1,655.5025
May ’25Mex$2,206.07
Mex$2,415.36
+9.49%
8.72%Mex$2,825.32Mex$1,906.24Mex$1,765.1328
Apr ’25Mex$2,141.99
Mex$2,250.77
+5.08%
9.59%Mex$2,875.99Mex$1,679.04Mex$2,154.7227
Mar ’25Mex$1,935.00
Mex$2,301.33
+18.93%
9.82%Mex$2,957.28Mex$1,726.50Mex$1,975.0028
Feb ’25Mex$1,906.30
Mex$2,311.44
+21.25%
9.96%Mex$2,967.09Mex$1,732.23Mex$2,080.0028
Mex$1.99k
Fair Value
3.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
27
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/15 16:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/12 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ConocoPhillips is covered by 45 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Joseph AllmanBaird
Yim ChengBarclays