Global Payments Valuation
Is GPN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GPN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: GPN * (MX$2421.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1954.24)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GPN * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPN *?
Key metric: As GPN * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is GPN *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 22.3x |
| Earnings | US$1.36b |
| Market Cap | US$29.89b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does GPN *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 53.8x | ||
CPAY Corpay | 26.2x | 15.5% | US$26.6b |
ADYEN Adyen | 52.3x | 19.8% | €43.2b |
FIS Fidelity National Information Services | 84.7x | 24.9% | US$45.7b |
SQ Block | 52.2x | 27.6% | US$55.2b |
GPN * Global Payments | 22.3x | 10.9% | Mex$29.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GPN * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (54x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does GPN *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Diversified Financial Industry?
| 2 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GPN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the South American Diversified Financial industry average (8.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GPN *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 22.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GPN *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$2,421.42 | Mex$2,634.50 +8.8% | 15.0% | Mex$3,473.44 | Mex$1,885.61 | n/a | 30 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$2,130.59 | Mex$2,609.68 +22.5% | 15.4% | Mex$3,467.30 | Mex$1,885.72 | n/a | 30 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$1,979.05 | Mex$2,654.04 +34.1% | 16.1% | Mex$3,819.47 | Mex$1,870.36 | n/a | 30 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$2,151.00 | Mex$2,663.54 +23.8% | 15.8% | Mex$3,891.67 | Mex$1,812.30 | n/a | 34 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,526.69 0% | 15.8% | Mex$3,614.94 | Mex$1,683.43 | n/a | 36 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$1,734.53 | Mex$2,631.89 +51.7% | 15.3% | Mex$3,700.56 | Mex$1,723.30 | n/a | 36 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$1,700.00 | Mex$2,469.52 +45.3% | 14.4% | Mex$3,400.56 | Mex$1,500.25 | n/a | 35 |
| May ’25 | Mex$2,130.00 | Mex$2,608.29 +22.5% | 12.7% | Mex$3,471.63 | Mex$1,531.60 | n/a | 36 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$2,215.03 | Mex$2,590.34 +16.9% | 12.5% | Mex$3,379.08 | Mex$1,490.77 | n/a | 35 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,689.68 0% | 12.1% | Mex$3,492.07 | Mex$1,540.62 | n/a | 35 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,565.52 0% | 12.8% | Mex$3,102.50 | Mex$1,551.25 | n/a | 35 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,436.94 0% | 13.7% | Mex$3,057.95 | Mex$1,528.97 | n/a | 35 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,443.29 0% | 14.5% | Mex$3,079.40 | Mex$1,539.70 | n/a | 35 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,556.59 0% | 13.9% | Mex$3,206.21 | Mex$1,692.17 | Mex$2,130.59 | 34 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,511.50 0% | 15.1% | Mex$3,602.49 | Mex$1,656.12 | Mex$1,979.05 | 30 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$2,139.91 | Mex$2,515.63 +17.6% | 14.6% | Mex$3,606.26 | Mex$1,657.86 | Mex$2,151.00 | 32 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,376.39 0% | 16.8% | Mex$3,507.15 | Mex$1,635.55 | n/a | 32 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,361.88 0% | 18.3% | Mex$3,563.16 | Mex$1,524.62 | Mex$1,734.53 | 32 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,434.19 0% | 17.3% | Mex$3,656.10 | Mex$1,564.39 | Mex$1,700.00 | 31 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,505.88 0% | 16.8% | Mex$3,729.15 | Mex$1,595.65 | Mex$2,130.00 | 30 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,550.57 0% | 17.8% | Mex$3,748.66 | Mex$1,603.99 | Mex$2,215.03 | 27 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,693.00 0% | 18.3% | Mex$3,829.26 | Mex$1,638.48 | n/a | 25 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$2,152.46 | Mex$2,709.10 +25.9% | 20.7% | Mex$4,132.52 | Mex$1,671.79 | n/a | 27 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,876.41 0% | 18.1% | Mex$4,259.75 | Mex$2,187.96 | n/a | 27 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$2,956.24 0% | 17.6% | Mex$4,335.43 | Mex$2,187.07 | n/a | 27 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$2,466.24 | Mex$3,039.79 +23.3% | 16.7% | Mex$4,417.26 | Mex$2,267.79 | n/a | 27 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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