AGNC Investment Corp.

BMV:AGNC * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$176.0b

AGNC Investment Valuation

Is AGNC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGNC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGNC * (MX$201.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$325.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGNC * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGNC *?

Key metric: As AGNC * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AGNC *. This is calculated by dividing AGNC *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is AGNC *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsUS$1.03b
Market CapUS$8.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGNC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AGNC * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
FHIPO 14 Fideicomiso Irrevocable F/2061 FHipo
5.4xn/aMex$3.6b
GENTERA * Gentera. de
7.2x15.7%Mex$38.6b
GBM O Corporativo GBM. de
98.6xn/aMex$17.2b
INVEX A INVEX Controladora. de
8.8xn/aMex$13.0b
AGNC * AGNC Investment
8.4x29.9%Mex$8.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGNC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (30x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGNC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGNC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the Global Mortgage REITs industry average (10.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGNC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGNC * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGNC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AGNC * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$201.25
Mex$213.92
+6.3%
7.0%Mex$244.97Mex$183.73n/a12
Nov ’25Mex$195.00
Mex$205.10
+5.2%
6.7%Mex$233.94Mex$175.45n/a12
Oct ’25Mex$215.00
Mex$207.13
-3.7%
6.7%Mex$236.26Mex$177.19n/a12
Sep ’25Mex$203.00
Mex$191.12
-5.9%
5.7%Mex$205.10Mex$167.81n/a12
Aug ’25Mex$190.00
Mex$186.70
-1.7%
5.3%Mex$202.00Mex$165.27n/a12
Jul ’25Mex$179.00
Mex$167.90
-6.2%
4.2%Mex$179.28Mex$153.67n/a12
Jun ’25Mex$162.00
Mex$167.90
+3.6%
4.2%Mex$179.28Mex$153.67n/a12
May ’25Mex$163.79
Mex$167.90
+2.5%
4.2%Mex$179.28Mex$153.67n/a12
Apr ’25Mex$165.00
Mex$169.46
+2.7%
4.8%Mex$179.15Mex$153.56n/a11
Mar ’25Mex$161.01
Mex$169.46
+5.2%
4.8%Mex$179.15Mex$153.56n/a11
Feb ’25Mex$163.00
Mex$170.32
+4.5%
4.9%Mex$180.64Mex$154.84n/a10
Jan ’25Mex$178.00
Mex$150.64
-15.4%
9.8%Mex$179.23Mex$128.02n/a10
Dec ’24Mex$160.68
Mex$145.64
-9.4%
6.0%Mex$154.71Mex$128.93n/a9
Nov ’24Mex$135.00
Mex$152.52
+13.0%
12.2%Mex$195.94Mex$133.59Mex$195.008
Oct ’24Mex$169.57
Mex$184.11
+8.6%
4.7%Mex$196.95Mex$171.26Mex$215.009
Sep ’24Mex$167.10
Mex$178.18
+6.6%
5.0%Mex$190.45Mex$160.83Mex$203.0010
Aug ’24Mex$170.00
Mex$178.18
+4.8%
5.0%Mex$190.45Mex$160.83Mex$190.0010
Jul ’24Mex$173.00
Mex$184.62
+6.7%
5.7%Mex$198.28Mex$167.44Mex$179.0010
Jun ’24Mex$160.00
Mex$184.62
+15.4%
5.7%Mex$198.28Mex$167.44Mex$162.0010
May ’24Mex$176.00
Mex$190.83
+8.4%
6.1%Mex$215.76Mex$170.81Mex$163.7911
Apr ’24Mex$190.00
Mex$223.75
+17.8%
4.7%Mex$239.42Mex$201.12Mex$165.0011
Mar ’24Mex$193.00
Mex$223.75
+15.9%
4.7%Mex$239.42Mex$201.12Mex$161.0111
Feb ’24Mex$215.00
Mex$212.45
-1.2%
8.2%Mex$232.76Mex$167.59Mex$163.0011
Jan ’24Mex$207.39
Mex$188.15
-9.3%
9.2%Mex$222.81Mex$168.35Mex$178.0011
Dec ’23Mex$195.00
Mex$171.97
-11.8%
3.8%Mex$181.98Mex$162.82Mex$160.6811
Nov ’23Mex$165.00
Mex$173.45
+5.1%
5.8%Mex$197.20Mex$157.76Mex$135.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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