Starbucks Valuation
Is SBUX * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SBUX * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SBUX * (MX$1357.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1371.57)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SBUX * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SBUX *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is SBUX *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$90.87b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 15.9x |
PEG Ratio | 2.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SBUX *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 38.7x | ||
ALSEA * Alsea. de | 23.3x | 26.4% | Mex$55.5b |
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill | 66.3x | 16.2% | US$85.3b |
3690 Meituan | 43.5x | 37.8% | HK$651.2b |
MCD McDonald's | 21.7x | 6.5% | US$181.7b |
SBUX * Starbucks | 21.9x | 9.4% | Mex$90.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SBUX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x) compared to the peer average (38.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SBUX *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SBUX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (21.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SBUX *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 21.9x |
Fair PE Ratio | 25.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SBUX * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$1,357.27 | Mex$1,521.04 +12.1% | 11.2% | Mex$2,035.88 | Mex$1,306.36 | n/a | 28 |
May ’25 | Mex$1,520.00 | Mex$1,596.45 +5.0% | 11.6% | Mex$2,042.14 | Mex$1,327.39 | n/a | 29 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$1,518.00 | Mex$1,766.67 +16.4% | 7.3% | Mex$2,112.20 | Mex$1,579.99 | n/a | 29 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$1,582.86 | Mex$1,822.38 +15.1% | 7.0% | Mex$2,171.47 | Mex$1,624.33 | n/a | 30 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$1,595.42 | Mex$1,832.91 +14.9% | 7.0% | Mex$2,169.99 | Mex$1,623.22 | n/a | 29 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$1,623.70 | Mex$1,914.38 +17.9% | 7.2% | Mex$2,123.58 | Mex$1,698.86 | n/a | 29 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$1,700.00 | Mex$1,942.24 +14.2% | 7.1% | Mex$2,149.93 | Mex$1,719.94 | n/a | 28 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$1,635.00 | Mex$1,980.29 +21.1% | 7.6% | Mex$2,271.05 | Mex$1,798.67 | n/a | 28 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$1,590.00 | Mex$1,952.22 +22.8% | 9.1% | Mex$2,610.35 | Mex$1,757.63 | n/a | 27 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$1,660.00 | Mex$1,895.59 +14.2% | 8.9% | Mex$2,519.66 | Mex$1,696.57 | n/a | 27 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$1,711.00 | Mex$1,920.35 +12.2% | 8.7% | Mex$2,502.21 | Mex$1,684.82 | n/a | 26 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$1,697.20 | Mex$1,983.61 +16.9% | 8.0% | Mex$2,340.48 | Mex$1,738.15 | n/a | 27 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$1,717.00 | Mex$2,045.80 +19.1% | 7.9% | Mex$2,405.62 | Mex$1,804.22 | Mex$1,357.27 | 26 |
May ’24 | Mex$2,054.00 | Mex$2,046.84 -0.3% | 9.2% | Mex$2,445.67 | Mex$1,546.53 | Mex$1,520.00 | 28 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$1,850.04 | Mex$2,073.63 +12.1% | 10.5% | Mex$2,545.60 | Mex$1,586.39 | Mex$1,518.00 | 29 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$1,875.45 | Mex$2,062.59 +10.0% | 10.3% | Mex$2,533.11 | Mex$1,578.61 | Mex$1,582.86 | 30 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$2,045.00 | Mex$2,064.55 +1.0% | 10.2% | Mex$2,552.61 | Mex$1,614.15 | Mex$1,595.42 | 29 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$1,921.00 | Mex$2,002.83 +4.3% | 10.5% | Mex$2,700.66 | Mex$1,707.77 | Mex$1,623.70 | 29 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$1,976.00 | Mex$1,916.32 -3.0% | 9.9% | Mex$2,615.88 | Mex$1,654.16 | Mex$1,700.00 | 30 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$1,724.97 | Mex$1,945.70 +12.8% | 10.0% | Mex$2,712.23 | Mex$1,595.43 | Mex$1,635.00 | 30 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$1,707.25 | Mex$1,952.04 +14.3% | 9.9% | Mex$2,712.74 | Mex$1,595.73 | Mex$1,590.00 | 30 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$1,700.00 | Mex$1,897.63 +11.6% | 12.0% | Mex$2,736.16 | Mex$1,609.50 | Mex$1,660.00 | 28 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$1,733.00 | Mex$1,885.54 +8.8% | 13.0% | Mex$2,783.00 | Mex$1,637.06 | Mex$1,711.00 | 28 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$1,600.23 | Mex$1,822.23 +13.9% | 13.4% | Mex$2,679.68 | Mex$1,497.47 | Mex$1,697.20 | 29 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$1,509.30 | Mex$1,822.23 +20.7% | 13.4% | Mex$2,679.68 | Mex$1,497.47 | Mex$1,717.00 | 29 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.