Expedia Group, Inc.

BMV:EXPE * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$413.1b

Expedia Group Valuation

Is EXPE * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXPE * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXPE * (MX$3237) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5532.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPE * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXPE *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EXPE * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.2x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXPE *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXPE * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43x
RLH A RLH Properties. de
30.9xn/aMex$18.4b
POSADAS A Grupo Posadas. de
88.7xn/aMex$13.5b
HOTEL * Grupo Hotelero Santa Fe. de
31.2x32.6%Mex$2.6b
HCITY * Hoteles City Express. de
21.3x45.5%Mex$2.2b
EXPE * Expedia Group
25.7x17.0%Mex$20.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXPE * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (43x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXPE *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.1%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.1%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXPE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXPE *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXPE * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio25.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXPE * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXPE * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$3,237.00
Mex$3,024.00
-6.6%
13.7%Mex$3,976.40Mex$2,346.08n/a32
Oct ’25Mex$2,879.00
Mex$2,950.66
+2.5%
14.0%Mex$3,940.48Mex$2,324.88n/a33
Sep ’25Mex$2,737.20
Mex$2,880.56
+5.2%
14.2%Mex$3,866.42Mex$2,281.19n/a31
Aug ’25Mex$2,273.00
Mex$2,763.62
+21.6%
14.3%Mex$3,750.24Mex$2,212.64n/a31
Jul ’25Mex$2,309.10
Mex$2,695.87
+16.7%
14.5%Mex$3,659.10Mex$2,158.87n/a31
Jun ’25Mex$1,850.00
Mex$2,484.56
+34.3%
15.1%Mex$3,399.22Mex$1,869.57n/a32
May ’25Mex$2,320.00
Mex$2,761.21
+19.0%
12.3%Mex$3,404.00Mex$2,212.60n/a33
Apr ’25Mex$2,217.81
Mex$2,730.03
+23.1%
12.2%Mex$3,363.68Mex$2,186.39n/a33
Mar ’25Mex$2,335.00
Mex$2,774.67
+18.8%
12.1%Mex$3,410.40Mex$2,216.76n/a33
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$2,714.21
0%
15.7%Mex$3,444.50Mex$1,980.59n/a33
Jan ’25Mex$2,571.00
Mex$2,401.48
-6.6%
19.8%Mex$3,396.04Mex$1,528.22n/a32
Dec ’24Mex$2,343.61
Mex$2,335.01
-0.4%
19.6%Mex$3,462.72Mex$1,558.22n/a32
Nov ’24Mex$1,666.17
Mex$2,270.62
+36.3%
19.0%Mex$3,610.70Mex$1,624.82n/a32
Oct ’24Mex$1,771.00
Mex$2,169.88
+22.5%
19.1%Mex$3,425.22Mex$1,541.35Mex$2,879.0030
Sep ’24Mex$1,856.20
Mex$2,205.68
+18.8%
19.8%Mex$3,409.96Mex$1,534.48Mex$2,737.2030
Aug ’24Mex$2,072.59
Mex$2,212.42
+6.7%
19.1%Mex$3,348.88Mex$1,507.00Mex$2,273.0031
Jul ’24Mex$1,892.70
Mex$2,215.83
+17.1%
20.5%Mex$3,423.90Mex$1,540.76Mex$2,309.1030
Jun ’24Mex$1,734.86
Mex$2,266.52
+30.6%
19.3%Mex$3,097.87Mex$1,593.19Mex$1,850.0027
May ’24Mex$1,687.27
Mex$2,363.92
+40.1%
17.2%Mex$3,137.51Mex$1,613.57Mex$2,320.0027
Apr ’24Mex$1,744.97
Mex$2,484.33
+42.4%
15.7%Mex$3,228.12Mex$1,660.18Mex$2,217.8128
Mar ’24Mex$1,971.12
Mex$2,480.77
+25.9%
15.6%Mex$3,215.82Mex$1,837.61Mex$2,335.0028
Feb ’24Mex$2,198.09
Mex$2,397.00
+9.0%
20.6%Mex$3,306.02Mex$1,596.66n/a28
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$2,550.93
0%
20.0%Mex$3,484.34Mex$1,682.78Mex$2,571.0027
Dec ’23Mex$2,060.00
Mex$2,581.81
+25.3%
20.2%Mex$3,689.36Mex$1,941.77Mex$2,343.6126
Nov ’23Mex$1,887.81
Mex$2,850.99
+51.0%
21.9%Mex$4,279.91Mex$1,981.44Mex$1,666.1726
Oct ’23Mex$1,929.00
Mex$2,909.19
+50.8%
20.7%Mex$4,287.06Mex$2,163.38Mex$1,771.0026

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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