Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:WALMEX) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

BMV:WALMEX *
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Wal-Mart de México. de (BMV:WALMEX) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.1%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Wal-Mart de México. de's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Wal-Mart de México. de

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Wal-Mart de México. de is:

26% = Mex$52b ÷ Mex$199b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every MX$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated MX$0.26 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Wal-Mart de México. de's Earnings Growth And 26% ROE

At first glance, Wal-Mart de México. de seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 18% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This certainly adds some context to Wal-Mart de México. de's decent 8.5% net income growth seen over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Wal-Mart de México. de's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 18% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BMV:WALMEX * Past Earnings Growth March 26th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Wal-Mart de México. de fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Wal-Mart de México. de Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Wal-Mart de México. de has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 39% (or a retention ratio of 61%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Additionally, Wal-Mart de México. de has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 74% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Wal-Mart de México. de's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Wal-Mart de México. de is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.