Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:SORIANAB) Is Using Debt Extensively

BMV:SORIANA B
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:SORIANAB) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V

What Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V had Mex$15.3b of debt at March 2022, down from Mex$22.0b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of Mex$3.06b, its net debt is less, at about Mex$12.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:SORIANA B Debt to Equity History June 16th 2022

A Look At Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V had liabilities of Mex$27.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of Mex$36.2b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$3.06b as well as receivables valued at Mex$5.58b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total Mex$55.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's Mex$37.0b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.00 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.9 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V grew its EBIT by 2.4% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Neither Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.