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- BMV:SORIANA B
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:SORIANAB) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:SORIANAB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
What Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V had debt of Mex$17.7b, up from Mex$12.7b in one year. On the flip side, it has Mex$4.82b in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$12.9b.
How Healthy Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V had liabilities of Mex$35.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of Mex$35.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$4.82b and Mex$7.92b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$58.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's Mex$56.3b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.99 and interest cover of 3.7 times, it seems to us that Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Notably Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Both Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's level of total liabilities and its interest cover were discouraging. But its not so bad at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BMV:SORIANA B
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
Operates various formats of stores in Mexico.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.