Stock Analysis

Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:SORIANAB) Using Too Much Debt?

BMV:SORIANA B
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:SORIANAB) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V

How Much Debt Does Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V Carry?

As you can see below, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V had Mex$12.8b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has Mex$6.75b in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$6.09b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:SORIANA B Debt to Equity History March 16th 2024

How Healthy Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V had liabilities of Mex$37.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of Mex$35.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had Mex$6.75b in cash and Mex$8.17b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$57.8b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of Mex$59.4b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.47 and interest cover of 4.1 times, it seems to us that Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Importantly Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's EBIT was essentially flat over the last twelve months. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Neither Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.