Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CHDRAUIB) After Its Second-Quarter Report

Investors in Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CHDRAUIB) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.5% to close at Mex$153 following the release of its quarterly results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of Mex$74b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de surprised by delivering a statutory profit of Mex$2.09 per share, modestly greater than expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's 13 analysts is for revenues of Mex$310.4b in 2025. This would reflect a credible 4.2% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 31% to Mex$8.67. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of Mex$309.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$8.67 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of Mex$162, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de analyst has a price target of Mex$190 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at Mex$130. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de shareholders.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 8.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 15% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 7.5% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$162, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.