V.F Valuation

Is VFC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VFC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VFC * (MX$441) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$453.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VFC * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VFC *?

Key metric: As VFC * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VFC *. This is calculated by dividing VFC *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is VFC *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$10.09b
Market CapUS$7.95b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VFC *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VFC * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
GIL Gildan Activewear
2.4x4.3%CA$10.8b
LEVI Levi Strauss
1.1x5.1%US$6.8b
UHR Swatch Group
1.1x2.9%CHF 8.3b
PVH PVH
0.7x1.7%US$6.0b
0.8x2.0%Mex$8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VFC * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VFC *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VFC * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the South American Luxury industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VFC *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VFC * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VFC *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VFC * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$449.66
0%
26.0%Mex$800.71Mex$266.90n/a19
Nov ’25Mex$441.00
Mex$435.48
-1.3%
27.3%Mex$780.62Mex$200.16n/a20
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$370.78
0%
31.8%Mex$765.30Mex$196.23n/a19
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$356.10
0%
32.8%Mex$744.00Mex$190.77n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$308.68
0%
41.3%Mex$732.11Mex$168.95n/a20
Jul ’25Mex$249.11
Mex$255.19
+2.4%
56.4%Mex$814.35Mex$101.79n/a21
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$255.19
0%
56.4%Mex$814.35Mex$101.79n/a21
May ’25n/a
Mex$314.23
0%
45.5%Mex$908.77Mex$205.76n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$308.72
0%
42.9%Mex$877.90Mex$215.33n/a23
Mar ’25Mex$269.81
Mex$312.88
+16.0%
43.9%Mex$903.76Mex$221.68n/a22
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$344.96
0%
42.6%Mex$980.90Mex$223.71n/a22
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$356.02
0%
43.3%Mex$972.95Mex$256.04n/a21
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$358.01
0%
43.5%Mex$982.89Mex$258.65n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$375.84
0%
44.7%Mex$1,015.30Mex$267.18Mex$441.0020
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$440.13
0%
35.8%Mex$1,045.86Mex$313.76n/a20
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$432.96
0%
35.2%Mex$1,021.54Mex$306.46n/a20
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$438.37
0%
34.7%Mex$1,004.66Mex$301.40n/a20
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$449.78
0%
34.3%Mex$1,026.89Mex$308.07Mex$249.1120
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$465.69
0%
34.1%Mex$1,059.59Mex$317.88n/a20
May ’24n/a
Mex$531.56
0%
28.8%Mex$1,078.57Mex$323.57n/a20
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$542.09
0%
28.8%Mex$1,081.34Mex$324.40n/a19
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$568.35
0%
25.6%Mex$1,102.57Mex$367.52Mex$269.8121
Feb ’24Mex$576.00
Mex$591.34
+2.7%
25.8%Mex$1,148.60Mex$433.08n/a21
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$632.80
0%
25.2%Mex$1,205.38Mex$454.49n/a21
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$668.17
0%
25.6%Mex$1,187.65Mex$498.05n/a21
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$693.11
0%
25.0%Mex$1,222.63Mex$512.72n/a21

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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