Under Armour Valuation

Is UAA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UAA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UAA * (MX$196) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$88.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UAA * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UAA *?

Key metric: As UAA * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for UAA *. This is calculated by dividing UAA *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is UAA *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$5.40b
Market CapUS$3.95b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does UAA *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for UAA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
BRBY Burberry Group
1.2x1.9%UK£3.2b
6181 Laopu Gold
5.6x24.6%HK$31.9b
KTB Kontoor Brands
2x2.9%US$5.0b
COLM Columbia Sportswear
1.5x4.6%US$4.8b
UAA * Under Armour
0.8x1.9%Mex$3.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: UAA * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does UAA *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: UAA * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the South American Luxury industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UAA *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UAA * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: UAA * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UAA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$196.00
Mex$221.51
+13.0%
24.0%Mex$325.00Mex$81.25n/a19
Nov ’25Mex$172.00
Mex$169.48
-1.5%
25.9%Mex$277.94Mex$79.41n/a19
Oct ’25Mex$175.85
Mex$163.34
-7.1%
24.6%Mex$269.50Mex$77.00n/a20
Sep ’25Mex$148.50
Mex$158.87
+7.0%
24.1%Mex$263.68Mex$75.34n/a20
Aug ’25Mex$127.00
Mex$137.40
+8.2%
28.2%Mex$251.12Mex$71.75n/a20
Jul ’25Mex$120.00
Mex$147.47
+22.9%
25.6%Mex$257.76Mex$110.47n/a21
Jun ’25Mex$121.00
Mex$137.05
+13.3%
27.3%Mex$234.26Mex$100.40n/a21
May ’25Mex$114.90
Mex$164.31
+43.0%
24.2%Mex$265.77Mex$120.03n/a23
Apr ’25Mex$121.92
Mex$162.28
+33.1%
23.7%Mex$258.75Mex$116.86n/a24
Mar ’25Mex$151.00
Mex$171.74
+13.7%
22.1%Mex$265.86Mex$137.22n/a24
Feb ’25Mex$132.19
Mex$169.36
+28.1%
22.1%Mex$262.19Mex$135.32n/a24
Jan ’25Mex$154.00
Mex$170.01
+10.4%
22.1%Mex$263.19Mex$135.84n/a24
Dec ’24Mex$145.00
Mex$170.74
+17.8%
21.8%Mex$266.99Mex$137.80n/a24
Nov ’24Mex$121.00
Mex$184.22
+52.2%
24.0%Mex$278.70Mex$107.89Mex$172.0022
Oct ’24Mex$115.00
Mex$175.67
+52.8%
23.2%Mex$264.59Mex$119.49Mex$175.8522
Sep ’24Mex$133.00
Mex$175.90
+32.3%
23.7%Mex$264.45Mex$119.43Mex$148.5021
Aug ’24Mex$135.00
Mex$175.22
+29.8%
22.7%Mex$261.03Mex$117.88Mex$127.0021
Jul ’24Mex$124.00
Mex$179.10
+44.4%
21.7%Mex$266.23Mex$120.23Mex$120.0022
Jun ’24Mex$130.00
Mex$187.42
+44.2%
20.4%Mex$272.08Mex$122.87Mex$121.0022
May ’24Mex$159.80
Mex$222.67
+39.3%
16.7%Mex$277.89Mex$161.36Mex$114.9020
Apr ’24Mex$165.00
Mex$226.54
+37.3%
15.3%Mex$279.35Mex$180.22Mex$121.9220
Mar ’24Mex$179.50
Mex$234.58
+30.7%
14.3%Mex$296.25Mex$185.16Mex$151.0023
Feb ’24Mex$236.00
Mex$225.70
-4.4%
19.7%Mex$297.94Mex$148.97Mex$132.1924
Jan ’24Mex$186.00
Mex$213.07
+14.6%
22.1%Mex$303.22Mex$156.50Mex$154.0024
Dec ’23Mex$190.21
Mex$210.35
+10.6%
27.9%Mex$386.25Mex$154.50Mex$145.0024
Nov ’23Mex$150.00
Mex$214.54
+43.0%
30.2%Mex$394.40Mex$128.18Mex$121.0024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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