PulteGroup Valuation
Is PHM * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PHM * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: PHM * (MX$1928) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2642.04)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PHM * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PHM *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is PHM *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$23.94b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.5x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.8x |
PEG Ratio | -3.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does PHM *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 8.4x | ||
VINTE * Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de | 16.3x | n/a | Mex$7.0b |
ARA * Consorcio ARA S. A. B. de C. V | 6.3x | 8.1% | Mex$4.1b |
JAVER * Servicios Corporativos Javer. de | 5.9x | 17.8% | Mex$3.5b |
CADU A Corpovael. de | 4.9x | 13.9% | Mex$1.4b |
PHM * PulteGroup | 8.8x | -2.7% | Mex$23.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PHM * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does PHM *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Durables Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PHM * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the Global Consumer Durables industry average (15.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PHM *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 8.8x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PHM *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$1,928.00 | Mex$2,265.09 +17.5% | 12.1% | Mex$3,137.83 | Mex$1,800.39 | n/a | 17 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$1,972.00 | Mex$2,053.08 +4.1% | 13.6% | Mex$2,871.33 | Mex$1,418.97 | n/a | 18 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$1,875.51 | Mex$2,039.19 +8.7% | 10.7% | Mex$2,362.67 | Mex$1,455.27 | n/a | 18 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,030.54 0% | 11.4% | Mex$2,374.80 | Mex$1,462.74 | n/a | 18 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$1,754.00 | Mex$1,763.90 +0.6% | 14.3% | Mex$2,361.42 | Mex$1,376.08 | n/a | 18 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,648.62 0% | 10.1% | Mex$2,010.42 | Mex$1,374.65 | n/a | 18 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$1,323.23 | Mex$1,692.87 +27.9% | 11.1% | Mex$2,125.70 | Mex$1,453.47 | n/a | 17 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$1,294.03 | Mex$1,700.05 +31.4% | 8.5% | Mex$1,969.50 | Mex$1,455.72 | n/a | 15 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$1,410.31 | Mex$1,662.72 +17.9% | 9.0% | Mex$1,943.72 | Mex$1,436.66 | n/a | 16 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$1,423.92 | Mex$1,662.72 +16.8% | 9.0% | Mex$1,943.72 | Mex$1,436.66 | n/a | 16 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$1,315.83 | Mex$1,361.67 +3.5% | 10.9% | Mex$1,626.48 | Mex$1,112.85 | n/a | 15 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,384.75 0% | 11.5% | Mex$1,680.40 | Mex$1,149.75 | n/a | 14 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,383.96 0% | 9.8% | Mex$1,588.01 | Mex$1,172.96 | n/a | 13 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,232.81 0% | 12.2% | Mex$1,532.93 | Mex$997.33 | Mex$1,972.00 | 12 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,232.81 0% | 12.2% | Mex$1,532.93 | Mex$997.33 | Mex$1,875.51 | 12 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$1,040.00 | Mex$1,155.93 +11.1% | 14.3% | Mex$1,545.54 | Mex$931.05 | n/a | 13 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,039.23 0% | 14.4% | Mex$1,276.54 | Mex$805.20 | Mex$1,754.00 | 12 |
Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$988.68 0% | 14.2% | Mex$1,262.15 | Mex$796.13 | n/a | 12 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$777.00 | Mex$967.94 +24.6% | 12.5% | Mex$1,289.49 | Mex$813.37 | Mex$1,323.23 | 12 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$770.00 | Mex$1,041.06 +35.2% | 17.5% | Mex$1,595.73 | Mex$817.81 | Mex$1,294.03 | 13 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$828.00 | Mex$1,061.43 +28.2% | 17.5% | Mex$1,624.55 | Mex$832.58 | Mex$1,410.31 | 13 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,061.43 0% | 17.5% | Mex$1,624.55 | Mex$832.58 | Mex$1,423.92 | 13 |
Jul ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,038.49 0% | 18.8% | Mex$1,422.14 | Mex$821.24 | Mex$1,315.83 | 13 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$884.21 | Mex$1,155.88 +30.7% | 16.7% | Mex$1,520.65 | Mex$920.39 | n/a | 13 |
May ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,191.55 0% | 17.5% | Mex$1,551.06 | Mex$938.80 | n/a | 13 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$892.00 | Mex$1,253.13 +40.5% | 12.1% | Mex$1,511.71 | Mex$974.65 | n/a | 12 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.