Consorcio ARA S. A. B. de C. V Valuation
Is ARA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ARA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ARA * (MX$3.36) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$2.67)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ARA * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARA *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is ARA *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | Mex$4.10b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.6x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.5x |
PEG Ratio | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ARA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 7.2x | ||
JAVER * Servicios Corporativos Javer. de | 6.3x | 17.0% | Mex$3.5b |
VINTE * Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de | 16.6x | n/a | Mex$7.0b |
CADU A Corpovael. de | 4.7x | 13.9% | Mex$1.3b |
URBI * Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos. de | 1.2x | n/a | Mex$97.8m |
ARA * Consorcio ARA S. A. B. de C. V | 6.2x | 5.5% | Mex$4.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ARA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ARA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Durables Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ARA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the Global Consumer Durables industry average (16x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ARA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 6.2x |
Fair PE Ratio | 5.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ARA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$3.36 | Mex$3.85 +14.6% | 3.9% | Mex$4.00 | Mex$3.70 | n/a | 2 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$3.19 | Mex$4.73 +48.4% | 26.5% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$3.70 | n/a | 3 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$3.35 | Mex$4.90 +46.3% | 23.1% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$4.00 | n/a | 3 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$3.81 | Mex$4.90 +28.6% | 23.1% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$4.00 | n/a | 3 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$3.67 | Mex$4.90 +33.5% | 23.1% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$4.00 | n/a | 3 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$3.22 | Mex$4.90 +52.2% | 23.1% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$4.00 | n/a | 3 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$3.36 | Mex$4.77 +41.9% | 26.2% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 3 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$3.61 | Mex$4.95 +37.1% | 24.1% | Mex$6.50 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 3 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$3.76 | Mex$6.71 +78.5% | 48.0% | Mex$12.00 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 4 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$4.04 | Mex$6.71 +66.2% | 48.0% | Mex$12.00 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 4 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$3.90 | Mex$6.39 +63.8% | 51.5% | Mex$12.00 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 4 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$3.78 | Mex$6.39 +69.0% | 51.5% | Mex$12.00 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 4 |
May ’24 | Mex$3.86 | Mex$6.39 +65.5% | 51.5% | Mex$12.00 | Mex$3.60 | n/a | 4 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$3.82 | Mex$7.28 +90.7% | 46.0% | Mex$12.00 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$3.19 | 3 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$3.92 | Mex$4.93 +25.6% | 8.6% | Mex$5.35 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$3.35 | 2 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$4.17 | Mex$4.93 +18.1% | 8.6% | Mex$5.35 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$3.81 | 2 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$3.20 | Mex$4.48 +39.8% | 19.6% | Mex$5.35 | Mex$3.60 | Mex$3.67 | 2 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$3.16 | Mex$4.48 +41.6% | 19.6% | Mex$5.35 | Mex$3.60 | Mex$3.22 | 2 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$3.20 | Mex$4.48 +39.8% | 19.6% | Mex$5.35 | Mex$3.60 | Mex$3.36 | 2 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$3.19 | Mex$4.93 +54.4% | 8.6% | Mex$5.35 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$3.61 | 2 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$3.34 | Mex$7.22 +116.1% | 45.2% | Mex$11.80 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$3.76 | 3 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$3.26 | Mex$6.80 +108.6% | 42.9% | Mex$11.80 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$4.04 | 4 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$3.64 | Mex$6.80 +86.8% | 42.9% | Mex$11.80 | Mex$4.50 | Mex$3.90 | 4 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$3.83 | Mex$6.93 +80.8% | 40.8% | Mex$11.80 | Mex$5.00 | Mex$3.78 | 4 |
May ’23 | Mex$4.00 | Mex$6.93 +73.1% | 40.8% | Mex$11.80 | Mex$5.00 | Mex$3.86 | 4 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$4.22 | Mex$7.00 +65.9% | 39.9% | Mex$11.80 | Mex$5.00 | Mex$3.82 | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.