Carter's Valuation

Is CRI * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CRI * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CRI * (MX$1100) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$660.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CRI * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CRI *?

Key metric: As CRI * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CRI *. This is calculated by dividing CRI *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is CRI *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
EarningsUS$226.07m
Market CapUS$1.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CRI *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CRI * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.6x
002563 Zhejiang Semir Garment
17.3x14.5%CN¥18.1b
2232 Crystal International Group
8.9x12.6%HK$12.1b
A081660 FILA Holdings
23.7x34.3%₩2.4t
3591 Wacoal Holdings
60.4x25.6%JP¥274.8b
CRI * Carter's
8.8x-6.1%Mex$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CRI * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CRI *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Luxury Industry?

47 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies110PE01632486480+
47 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CRI * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the Global Luxury industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CRI *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CRI * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CRI *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CRI * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$1,157.70
0%
10.0%Mex$1,337.79Mex$1,029.07n/a4
Nov ’25Mex$1,094.00
Mex$1,125.90
+2.9%
10.0%Mex$1,301.04Mex$1,000.80n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,156.96
0%
11.8%Mex$1,432.12Mex$994.53n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$1,053.19
0%
6.2%Mex$1,125.07Mex$937.56n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,053.19
0%
6.2%Mex$1,125.07Mex$937.56n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,186.75
0%
9.2%Mex$1,359.53Mex$1,019.65n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,186.75
0%
9.2%Mex$1,359.53Mex$1,019.65n/a6
May ’25n/a
Mex$1,215.96
0%
10.0%Mex$1,380.32Mex$1,021.20n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$1,273.82
0%
9.0%Mex$1,402.05Mex$1,111.38n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,273.82
0%
9.0%Mex$1,402.05Mex$1,111.38n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,186.08
0%
10.3%Mex$1,417.51Mex$1,012.51n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,238.90
0%
10.9%Mex$1,514.50Mex$1,081.79n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,238.90
0%
10.9%Mex$1,514.50Mex$1,081.79n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,238.90
0%
10.9%Mex$1,514.50Mex$1,081.79Mex$1,094.007
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$1,174.50
0%
9.5%Mex$1,406.53Mex$1,038.15n/a7
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,174.50
0%
9.5%Mex$1,406.53Mex$1,038.15n/a7
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$1,174.50
0%
9.5%Mex$1,406.53Mex$1,038.15n/a7
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,227.23
0%
11.0%Mex$1,509.65Mex$1,078.32n/a7
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$1,227.23
0%
11.0%Mex$1,509.65Mex$1,078.32n/a7
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,232.91
0%
10.5%Mex$1,510.31Mex$1,114.75n/a7
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$1,241.08
0%
10.5%Mex$1,520.32Mex$1,122.14n/a7
Mar ’24Mex$2,025.50
Mex$1,283.70
-36.6%
10.4%Mex$1,543.59Mex$1,139.32n/a7
Feb ’24Mex$2,025.50
Mex$1,367.51
-32.5%
11.0%Mex$1,624.43Mex$1,198.99n/a7
Jan ’24Mex$2,025.50
Mex$1,386.31
-31.6%
11.4%Mex$1,633.56Mex$1,205.73n/a7
Dec ’23Mex$2,025.50
Mex$1,386.31
-31.6%
11.4%Mex$1,633.56Mex$1,205.73n/a7
Nov ’23Mex$2,025.50
Mex$1,457.77
-28.0%
17.0%Mex$1,981.44Mex$1,228.49n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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