Stock Analysis

Here's Why Corpovael. de (BMV:CADUA) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

BMV:CADU A
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Corpovael, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CADUA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Corpovael. de

What Is Corpovael. de's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Corpovael. de had Mex$3.77b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has Mex$575.1m in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$3.20b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:CADU A Debt to Equity History January 15th 2021

How Strong Is Corpovael. de's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Corpovael. de had liabilities of Mex$1.79b due within 12 months, and liabilities of Mex$3.34b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had Mex$575.1m in cash and Mex$1.23b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$3.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the Mex$1.52b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Corpovael. de would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

As it happens Corpovael. de has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.5 but very strong interest coverage of 14.0. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Importantly, Corpovael. de's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 71% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Corpovael. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Corpovael. de reported free cash flow worth 20% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

To be frank both Corpovael. de's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Corpovael. de has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Corpovael. de is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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