TransDigm Group Valuation
Is TDG * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of TDG * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: TDG * (MX$28314.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$31360.9)
Significantly Below Fair Value: TDG * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TDG *?
Key metric: As TDG * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is TDG *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 47.4x |
| Earnings | US$1.48b |
| Market Cap | US$70.25b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 11.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 22.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does TDG *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 31.2x | ||
GCARSO A1 Grupo Carso. de | 19.4x | 15.6% | Mex$262.2b |
RR. Rolls-Royce Holdings | 19.6x | -0.09% | UK£45.6b |
NOC Northrop Grumman | 30x | 12.1% | US$71.2b |
SAF Safran | 55.8x | 20.0% | €91.5b |
TDG * TransDigm Group | 47.4x | 17.3% | Mex$70.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TDG * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the peer average (31.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does TDG *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Aerospace & Defense Industry?
| 6 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TDG * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the Global Aerospace & Defense industry average (38.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is TDG *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 47.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TDG *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$30,724.53 0% | 7.2% | Mex$33,997.96 | Mex$24,834.28 | n/a | 21 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$26,550.00 | Mex$29,434.15 +10.9% | 9.4% | Mex$32,910.66 | Mex$21,808.27 | n/a | 21 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$28,378.96 0% | 8.9% | Mex$32,322.55 | Mex$21,574.52 | n/a | 21 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$26,900.00 | Mex$27,066.80 +0.6% | 8.4% | Mex$30,727.62 | Mex$20,509.94 | n/a | 21 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$23,595.00 | Mex$27,245.22 +15.5% | 7.0% | Mex$30,504.66 | Mex$22,526.52 | n/a | 16 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$23,800.32 | Mex$26,395.13 +10.9% | 9.1% | Mex$30,266.01 | Mex$19,099.91 | n/a | 22 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$22,550.24 | Mex$23,931.88 +6.1% | 8.6% | Mex$27,945.30 | Mex$17,635.38 | n/a | 22 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$21,702.51 0% | 8.3% | Mex$25,751.05 | Mex$16,963.80 | n/a | 23 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$20,225.00 | Mex$20,607.23 +1.9% | 7.4% | Mex$23,692.81 | Mex$16,568.40 | n/a | 22 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$20,570.00 | Mex$20,906.35 +1.6% | 7.3% | Mex$23,545.70 | Mex$17,062.10 | n/a | 21 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$19,089.70 | Mex$18,884.12 -1.1% | 11.0% | Mex$21,867.27 | Mex$12,098.17 | n/a | 22 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$17,927.16 0% | 10.3% | Mex$20,378.76 | Mex$11,979.31 | n/a | 21 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$16,578.00 | Mex$18,196.56 +9.8% | 10.5% | Mex$20,836.32 | Mex$12,248.28 | n/a | 21 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$17,273.71 0% | 9.8% | Mex$19,873.76 | Mex$12,584.34 | Mex$26,550.00 | 21 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$17,138.32 0% | 10.0% | Mex$19,699.42 | Mex$12,473.94 | n/a | 20 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$15,280.00 | Mex$16,721.22 +9.4% | 8.3% | Mex$19,072.13 | Mex$13,011.50 | Mex$26,900.00 | 19 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$15,822.83 0% | 8.4% | Mex$17,731.30 | Mex$12,398.32 | Mex$23,595.00 | 19 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$15,251.21 0% | 8.1% | Mex$17,076.50 | Mex$12,465.85 | Mex$23,800.32 | 18 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$15,640.48 0% | 8.2% | Mex$17,688.40 | Mex$12,912.53 | Mex$22,550.24 | 18 |
| May ’24 | Mex$13,800.00 | Mex$14,381.96 +4.2% | 6.8% | Mex$15,998.82 | Mex$12,583.34 | n/a | 18 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$14,358.85 0% | 6.5% | Mex$16,039.94 | Mex$12,615.68 | Mex$20,225.00 | 18 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$14,640.87 0% | 6.5% | Mex$16,285.58 | Mex$12,131.84 | Mex$20,570.00 | 17 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$12,031.40 | Mex$13,410.41 +11.5% | 5.9% | Mex$15,157.49 | Mex$12,103.65 | Mex$19,089.70 | 17 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$14,182.99 0% | 6.5% | Mex$16,164.25 | Mex$12,770.55 | n/a | 18 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$11,695.50 | Mex$13,832.29 +18.3% | 6.8% | Mex$15,720.54 | Mex$12,420.00 | Mex$16,578.00 | 18 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$11,695.50 | Mex$14,329.38 +22.5% | 7.7% | Mex$16,062.77 | Mex$12,232.57 | n/a | 18 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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