Stanley Black & Decker Valuation
Is SWK * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SWK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SWK * (MX$1814.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1706.91)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SWK * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWK *?
Key metric: As SWK * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is SWK *'s PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.9x |
| Sales | US$15.38b |
| Market Cap | US$13.76b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.3x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does SWK *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 2.8x | ||
GCARSO A1 Grupo Carso. de | 1.4x | 5.8% | Mex$269.2b |
IDEAL B-1 Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina. de | 4x | n/a | Mex$110.6b |
ALFA A Alfa. de | 0.3x | 5.9% | Mex$83.6b |
NDSN Nordson | 5.6x | 7.6% | US$14.9b |
SWK * Stanley Black & Decker | 0.9x | 2.7% | Mex$13.8b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SWK * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does SWK *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Machinery Industry?
| 178 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 178 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SWK * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the Global Machinery industry average (1.5x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SWK *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.9x |
| Fair PS Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWK *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$2,153.49 0% | 11.1% | Mex$2,755.88 | Mex$1,837.25 | n/a | 15 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,170.23 0% | 14.8% | Mex$3,045.43 | Mex$1,761.41 | n/a | 15 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,059.85 0% | 11.4% | Mex$2,647.78 | Mex$1,725.96 | n/a | 14 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,994.15 0% | 12.3% | Mex$2,620.88 | Mex$1,708.42 | n/a | 13 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,895.01 0% | 13.5% | Mex$2,515.06 | Mex$1,490.41 | n/a | 13 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,681.89 0% | 9.6% | Mex$2,018.84 | Mex$1,431.54 | n/a | 13 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$1,450.00 | Mex$1,579.84 +9.0% | 9.7% | Mex$1,865.28 | Mex$1,322.65 | n/a | 12 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,637.71 0% | 10.7% | Mex$1,876.39 | Mex$1,364.65 | n/a | 13 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,634.07 0% | 10.6% | Mex$1,875.23 | Mex$1,363.80 | n/a | 13 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,634.07 0% | 10.6% | Mex$1,875.23 | Mex$1,363.80 | n/a | 13 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,689.07 0% | 10.6% | Mex$2,016.21 | Mex$1,401.09 | n/a | 13 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,637.85 0% | 10.9% | Mex$2,009.81 | Mex$1,362.58 | n/a | 13 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$1,567.00 | Mex$1,631.20 +4.1% | 10.8% | Mex$2,027.61 | Mex$1,374.65 | n/a | 13 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,719.25 0% | 10.8% | Mex$2,130.31 | Mex$1,444.28 | n/a | 13 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,753.19 0% | 8.9% | Mex$2,122.02 | Mex$1,520.78 | n/a | 14 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,699.45 0% | 7.9% | Mex$2,046.16 | Mex$1,534.62 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$1,550.00 | Mex$1,600.74 +3.3% | 8.9% | Mex$2,023.36 | Mex$1,433.21 | n/a | 14 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,572.32 0% | 7.9% | Mex$1,878.49 | Mex$1,297.87 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,629.86 0% | 7.9% | Mex$1,945.72 | Mex$1,344.32 | Mex$1,450.00 | 14 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,659.68 0% | 9.5% | Mex$1,977.79 | Mex$1,438.39 | n/a | 13 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,772.88 0% | 9.7% | Mex$2,061.16 | Mex$1,499.02 | n/a | 13 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,744.72 0% | 9.7% | Mex$2,020.21 | Mex$1,469.24 | n/a | 13 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,627.69 0% | 10.3% | Mex$1,898.55 | Mex$1,310.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,711.42 0% | 13.6% | Mex$2,312.96 | Mex$1,364.05 | n/a | 14 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,672.00 0% | 13.7% | Mex$2,263.42 | Mex$1,334.84 | Mex$1,567.00 | 14 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$1,546.00 | Mex$1,880.95 +21.7% | 25.8% | Mex$3,071.23 | Mex$1,367.19 | n/a | 14 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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