Sunrun Valuation
Is RUN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of RUN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate RUN *'s fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate RUN *'s fair value for valuation analysis.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RUN *?
Key metric: As RUN * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is RUN *'s PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 1.2x |
| Sales | US$2.04b |
| Market Cap | US$2.36b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -464.7x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does RUN *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.5x | ||
LAMOSA * Grupo Lamosa. de | 1.2x | 6.3% | Mex$40.5b |
ALFA A Alfa. de | 0.3x | 5.9% | Mex$83.6b |
IDEAL B-1 Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina. de | 4x | n/a | Mex$110.6b |
KUO B Grupo KUO. de | 0.5x | 16.4% | Mex$20.1b |
RUN * Sunrun | 1.2x | 13.3% | Mex$2.4b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RUN * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does RUN *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Electrical Industry?
| 153 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RUN * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the Global Electrical industry average (1.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is RUN *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 1.2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.5x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RUN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$215.00 | Mex$389.98 +81.4% | 31.9% | Mex$778.27 | Mex$225.29 | n/a | 24 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$295.55 | Mex$448.47 +51.7% | 28.3% | Mex$755.42 | Mex$258.43 | n/a | 25 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$364.99 | Mex$444.15 +21.7% | 29.2% | Mex$748.14 | Mex$255.94 | n/a | 25 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$399.50 | Mex$435.84 +9.1% | 28.6% | Mex$746.30 | Mex$255.31 | n/a | 26 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$333.00 | Mex$371.23 +11.5% | 35.7% | Mex$763.35 | Mex$218.10 | n/a | 27 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$202.90 | Mex$354.35 +74.6% | 37.5% | Mex$754.62 | Mex$215.61 | n/a | 27 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$243.99 | Mex$327.94 +34.4% | 37.7% | Mex$704.94 | Mex$201.41 | n/a | 26 |
| May ’25 | Mex$176.50 | Mex$345.59 +95.8% | 40.1% | Mex$731.77 | Mex$204.21 | n/a | 27 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$212.00 | Mex$354.35 +67.1% | 36.5% | Mex$712.26 | Mex$198.77 | n/a | 28 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$212.00 | Mex$368.51 +73.8% | 36.4% | Mex$733.86 | Mex$204.80 | n/a | 27 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$253.00 | Mex$391.02 +54.6% | 38.5% | Mex$734.72 | Mex$170.87 | n/a | 26 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$336.00 | Mex$371.23 +10.5% | 41.3% | Mex$737.56 | Mex$171.53 | n/a | 28 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$238.00 | Mex$345.32 +45.1% | 42.6% | Mex$735.64 | Mex$171.08 | n/a | 27 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$173.00 | Mex$475.64 +174.9% | 45.5% | Mex$1,062.61 | Mex$219.85 | Mex$295.55 | 26 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$217.00 | Mex$581.45 +167.9% | 32.7% | Mex$1,034.11 | Mex$361.94 | Mex$364.99 | 25 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$270.00 | Mex$577.97 +114.1% | 32.4% | Mex$1,023.08 | Mex$358.08 | Mex$399.50 | 25 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$318.00 | Mex$577.16 +81.5% | 31.9% | Mex$1,009.72 | Mex$336.57 | Mex$333.00 | 25 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$298.00 | Mex$613.33 +105.8% | 29.2% | Mex$1,030.58 | Mex$429.41 | Mex$202.90 | 25 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$324.00 | Mex$630.65 +94.6% | 29.2% | Mex$1,070.48 | Mex$446.03 | Mex$243.99 | 25 |
| May ’24 | Mex$370.00 | Mex$678.99 +83.5% | 30.5% | Mex$1,168.89 | Mex$413.61 | Mex$176.50 | 26 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$352.59 | Mex$736.29 +108.8% | 29.7% | Mex$1,176.02 | Mex$488.50 | Mex$212.00 | 24 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$452.19 | Mex$761.66 +68.4% | 27.4% | Mex$1,176.69 | Mex$488.78 | Mex$212.00 | 23 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$520.00 | Mex$833.38 +60.3% | 27.3% | Mex$1,318.07 | Mex$564.89 | Mex$253.00 | 22 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$462.00 | Mex$912.51 +97.5% | 28.3% | Mex$1,422.48 | Mex$553.18 | Mex$336.00 | 24 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$594.85 | Mex$883.96 +48.6% | 28.4% | Mex$1,379.21 | Mex$536.36 | Mex$238.00 | 24 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$448.50 | Mex$953.46 +112.6% | 27.9% | Mex$1,574.46 | Mex$518.18 | Mex$173.00 | 22 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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