Fastenal Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of FAST * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

FAST * (MX$1100) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$683.96)

Is FAST * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FAST * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FAST * (MX$1100) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$683.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FAST * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FAST *?

Key metric: As FAST * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FAST *. This is calculated by dividing FAST *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is FAST *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	32.8x
Earnings	US$1.16b
Market Cap	US$38.02b

FAST * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	5.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	22.5x
PEG Ratio	4.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FAST *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FAST * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	28.1x
GCARSO A1 Grupo Carso. de	18.8x	15.6%	Mex$260.7b
512599 Adani Enterprises	47.6x	33.4%	₹2.6t
FERG Ferguson Enterprises	23.9x	8.8%	US$40.7b
AHT Ashtead Group	22.2x	1.8%	UK£27.6b
FAST * Fastenal	32.8x	7.7%	Mex$38.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FAST * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x) compared to the peer average (22.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FAST *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Trade Distributors Industry?

23 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

23 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FAST * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x) compared to the Global Trade Distributors industry average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FAST *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FAST * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	32.8x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FAST *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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