Grupo Rotoplas. de Valuation
Is AGUA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AGUA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: AGUA * (MX$18.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$48.82)
Significantly Below Fair Value: AGUA * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGUA *?
Key metric: As AGUA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is AGUA *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 24.1x |
| Earnings | Mex$362.04m |
| Market Cap | Mex$8.89b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 8.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does AGUA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 43.9x | ||
ELEMAT * Elementia Materiales S. A. B. de C. V | 16x | n/a | Mex$11.5b |
CERAMIC B Internacional de Cerámica. de | 50.1x | n/a | Mex$13.5b |
LAMOSA * Grupo Lamosa. de | 70.9x | 38.6% | Mex$40.5b |
ARISTOS A Consorcio Aristos. de | 38.4x | n/a | Mex$6.9b |
AGUA * Grupo Rotoplas. de | 24.1x | 16.7% | Mex$8.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGUA * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x) compared to the peer average (53.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does AGUA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Building Industry?
| 8 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGUA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x) compared to the Global Building industry average (18.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AGUA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 24.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 18x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGUA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$18.09 | Mex$37.93 +109.7% | 27.2% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$24.80 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$20.57 | Mex$37.93 +84.4% | 27.2% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$24.80 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$23.55 | Mex$42.67 +81.2% | 15.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$34.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$24.93 | Mex$42.67 +71.1% | 15.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$34.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$25.28 | Mex$42.67 +68.8% | 15.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$34.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$26.97 | Mex$43.50 +61.3% | 13.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$34.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$29.13 | Mex$43.50 +49.3% | 13.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$34.00 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | Mex$29.03 | Mex$43.50 +49.8% | 13.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$34.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$29.93 | Mex$45.15 +50.9% | 7.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$29.46 | Mex$45.15 +53.3% | 7.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$27.67 | Mex$44.40 +60.5% | 7.8% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$30.06 | Mex$44.40 +47.7% | 7.8% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$26.51 | Mex$44.40 +67.5% | 7.8% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$24.77 | Mex$44.40 +79.2% | 7.8% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$20.57 | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$25.11 | Mex$44.65 +77.8% | 7.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$23.55 | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$25.59 | Mex$44.65 +74.5% | 7.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$24.93 | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$26.32 | Mex$44.65 +69.6% | 7.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$25.28 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$25.51 | Mex$44.65 +75.0% | 7.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$26.97 | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$27.70 | Mex$44.65 +61.2% | 7.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$29.13 | 4 |
| May ’24 | Mex$25.05 | Mex$44.65 +78.2% | 7.6% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$29.03 | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$27.58 | Mex$44.90 +62.8% | 7.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$40.60 | Mex$29.93 | 4 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$30.39 | Mex$44.63 +46.8% | 8.4% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$39.50 | Mex$29.46 | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$28.75 | Mex$44.40 +54.4% | 8.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$39.50 | Mex$27.67 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$31.49 | Mex$44.40 +41.0% | 8.5% | Mex$50.00 | Mex$39.50 | Mex$30.06 | 4 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$32.99 | Mex$43.90 +33.1% | 7.0% | Mex$48.00 | Mex$39.50 | Mex$26.51 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$29.80 | Mex$43.90 +47.3% | 7.0% | Mex$48.00 | Mex$39.50 | Mex$24.77 | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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