Arcosa, Inc.

BMV:ACA * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$110.5b

Arcosa Valuation

Is ACA * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACA * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACA * (MX$2085) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$597.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACA * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACA *?

Key metric: As ACA * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ACA *. This is calculated by dividing ACA *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is ACA *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.1x
EarningsUS$128.10m
Market CapUS$5.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACA *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACA * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.1x
IDEAL B-1 Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina. de
13.6xn/aMex$110.6b
ARISTOS A Consorcio Aristos. de
38.4xn/aMex$6.9b
GMD * Grupo Mexicano de Desarrollo
5.4xn/aMex$2.0b
LAMOSA * Grupo Lamosa. de
71x38.6%Mex$40.5b
ACA * Arcosa
42.1x35.0%Mex$5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the peer average (32.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACA *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Construction Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies102PE01020304050+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACA * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the Global Construction industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACA *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACA * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ACA *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACA * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$2,085.00
Mex$2,205.96
+5.8%
3.5%Mex$2,353.47Mex$2,112.09n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$2,193.25
0%
1.9%Mex$2,230.43Mex$2,129.04n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,978.18
0%
4.9%Mex$2,056.71Mex$1,794.95n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$1,978.18
0%
4.9%Mex$2,056.71Mex$1,794.95n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,891.29
0%
8.4%Mex$2,064.93Mex$1,689.49n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,656.96
0%
7.8%Mex$1,826.31Mex$1,494.25n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,656.96
0%
7.8%Mex$1,826.31Mex$1,494.25n/a5
May ’25n/a
Mex$1,585.80
0%
5.3%Mex$1,730.27Mex$1,495.08n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$1,585.80
0%
5.3%Mex$1,730.27Mex$1,495.08n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$1,611.09
0%
5.3%Mex$1,757.86Mex$1,518.93n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$1,494.92
0%
4.8%Mex$1,571.76Mex$1,362.19n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$1,494.92
0%
4.8%Mex$1,571.76Mex$1,362.19n/a5
Dec ’24Mex$1,284.00
Mex$1,494.92
+16.4%
4.8%Mex$1,571.76Mex$1,362.19n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$1,571.94
0%
2.3%Mex$1,603.11Mex$1,514.05n/a4
Oct ’24Mex$1,300.00
Mex$1,506.60
+15.9%
2.2%Mex$1,540.84Mex$1,455.23n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$1,506.60
0%
2.2%Mex$1,540.84Mex$1,455.23n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$1,452.70
0%
3.8%Mex$1,513.23Mex$1,370.81n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,452.70
0%
3.8%Mex$1,513.23Mex$1,370.81n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$1,452.70
0%
3.8%Mex$1,513.23Mex$1,370.81n/a5
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,427.12
0%
4.3%Mex$1,523.93Mex$1,344.65n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$1,376.92
0%
4.8%Mex$1,484.55Mex$1,298.98n/a5
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$1,341.46
0%
5.8%Mex$1,470.09Mex$1,231.20n/a6
Feb ’24Mex$1,199.75
Mex$1,327.27
+10.6%
9.0%Mex$1,430.24Mex$1,163.26n/a5
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$1,390.05
0%
8.4%Mex$1,489.34Mex$1,211.33n/a5
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$1,364.55
0%
7.6%Mex$1,458.54Mex$1,186.28Mex$1,284.006
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$1,392.32
0%
6.9%Mex$1,498.91Mex$1,219.12n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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