Stock Analysis

Nemak S. A. B. de C. V's (BMV:NEMAKA) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

BMV:NEMAK A
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To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. So after glancing at the trends within Nemak S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:NEMAKA), we weren't too hopeful.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Nemak S. A. B. de C. V:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.057 = Mex$3.8b ÷ (Mex$102b - Mex$35b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Nemak S. A. B. de C. V has an ROCE of 5.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Auto Components industry average of 6.9%.

View our latest analysis for Nemak S. A. B. de C. V

roce
BMV:NEMAK A Return on Capital Employed March 15th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Nemak S. A. B. de C. V compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Nemak S. A. B. de C. V here for free.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of Nemak S. A. B. de C. V's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 10% that they were earning five years ago. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Nemak S. A. B. de C. V to turn into a multi-bagger.

In Conclusion...

In summary, it's unfortunate that Nemak S. A. B. de C. V is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 67% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

If you'd like to know more about Nemak S. A. B. de C. V, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nemak S. A. B. de C. V is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.