Grupo Industrial Saltillo. de (BMV:GISSA A) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of GISSA A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GISSA A (MX$17) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$65.65)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GISSA A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GISSA A (MX$17) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$65.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GISSA A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GISSA A?

Key metric: As GISSA A is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GISSA A. This is calculated by dividing GISSA A's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GISSA A's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.2x
Sales	US$1.02b
Market Cap	US$254.24m

GISSA A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GISSA A's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GISSA A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.6x
NEMAK A Nemak S. A. B. de C. V	0.05x	3.7%	Mex$5.0b
505744 Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)	1.3x	n/a	₹22.0b
603089 ADD Industry (Zhejiang)	0.9x	n/a	CN¥1.9b
7280 Mitsuba	0.1x	n/a	JP¥38.9b
GISSA A Grupo Industrial Saltillo. de	0.2x	10.3%	Mex$5.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GISSA A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GISSA A's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Components Industry?

155 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

155 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GISSA A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Global Auto Components industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GISSA A's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GISSA A PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.2x
Fair PS Ratio	0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GISSA A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GISSA A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$17.00	Mex$47.30 +178.2%	5.7%	Mex$50.00	Mex$44.60	n/a	2
Nov ’25	Mex$17.14	Mex$47.30 +176.0%	5.7%	Mex$50.00	Mex$44.60	n/a	2
Oct ’25	Mex$19.42	Mex$47.30 +143.6%	5.7%	Mex$50.00	Mex$44.60	n/a	2
Sep ’25	Mex$21.00	Mex$47.30 +125.2%	5.7%	Mex$50.00	Mex$44.60	n/a	2
Aug ’25	Mex$21.60	Mex$47.30 +119.0%	5.7%	Mex$50.00	Mex$44.60	n/a	2
May ’25	Mex$22.15	Mex$47.30 +113.5%	5.7%	Mex$50.00	Mex$44.60	n/a	2
Apr ’25	Mex$23.55	Mex$39.50 +67.7%	12.9%	Mex$44.60	Mex$34.40	n/a	2
Mar ’25	Mex$24.60	Mex$39.50 +60.6%	12.9%	Mex$44.60	Mex$34.40	n/a	2
Feb ’25	Mex$25.64	Mex$39.50 +54.1%	12.9%	Mex$44.60	Mex$34.40	n/a	2
Jan ’25	n/a	Mex$39.50 0%	12.9%	Mex$44.60	Mex$34.40	n/a	2
Dec ’24	Mex$26.99	Mex$39.50 +46.4%	12.9%	Mex$44.60	Mex$34.40	n/a	2
Nov ’24	Mex$27.00	Mex$39.50 +46.3%	12.9%	Mex$44.60	Mex$34.40	Mex$17.14	2
Oct ’24	Mex$28.41	Mex$40.30 +41.9%	10.7%	Mex$44.60	Mex$36.00	Mex$19.42	2
Sep ’24	Mex$30.00	Mex$40.30 +34.3%	10.7%	Mex$44.60	Mex$36.00	Mex$21.00	2
Aug ’24	Mex$30.35	Mex$43.53 +43.4%	13.2%	Mex$50.00	Mex$36.00	Mex$21.60	3
Jul ’24	Mex$30.00	Mex$43.53 +45.1%	13.2%	Mex$50.00	Mex$36.00	Mex$22.23	3
Jun ’24	Mex$30.88	Mex$43.53 +41.0%	13.2%	Mex$50.00	Mex$36.00	Mex$21.55	3
May ’24	Mex$31.00	Mex$43.87 +41.5%	12.2%	Mex$50.00	Mex$37.00	Mex$22.15	3
Apr ’24	Mex$34.83	Mex$42.37 +21.6%	13.1%	Mex$50.00	Mex$37.00	Mex$23.55	3
Mar ’24	Mex$29.30	Mex$42.37 +44.6%	13.1%	Mex$50.00	Mex$37.00	Mex$24.60	3
Feb ’24	Mex$31.40	Mex$42.37 +34.9%	13.1%	Mex$50.00	Mex$37.00	Mex$25.64	3
Jan ’24	Mex$34.70	Mex$42.37 +22.1%	13.1%	Mex$50.00	Mex$37.00	n/a	3
Dec ’23	Mex$31.53	Mex$41.03 +30.1%	9.1%	Mex$46.00	Mex$37.00	Mex$26.99	3
Nov ’23	Mex$31.78	Mex$41.03 +29.1%	9.1%	Mex$46.00	Mex$37.00	Mex$27.00	3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Grupo Industrial Saltillo. de Valuation