Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

BMV:BMWM5 N Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$909.5b

Bayerische Motoren Werke Valuation

Is BMWM5 N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMWM5 N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMWM5 N (MX$1614.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2210.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMWM5 N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMWM5 N?

Key metric: As BMWM5 N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMWM5 N. This is calculated by dividing BMWM5 N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMWM5 N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
Earnings€8.18b
Market Cap€42.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMWM5 N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMWM5 N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.2x
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.4x9.4%€42.9b
F Ford Motor
12.4x19.7%US$44.0b
7267 Honda Motor
6.4x5.8%JP¥6.3t
STLAM Stellantis
2.7x-0.9%€36.4b
BMWM5 N Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.2x5.6%Mex$42.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMWM5 N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMWM5 N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMWM5 N 5.2xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMWM5 N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMWM5 N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMWM5 N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BMWM5 N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMWM5 N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$1,951.69
0%
20.9%Mex$3,365.40Mex$1,311.20n/a22
Nov ’25Mex$1,614.22
Mex$2,011.09
+24.6%
19.7%Mex$3,310.20Mex$1,504.64n/a21
Oct ’25Mex$1,620.86
Mex$2,006.86
+23.8%
18.8%Mex$3,275.47Mex$1,573.93n/a22
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$2,364.46
0%
16.3%Mex$3,658.44Mex$1,763.10n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$2,242.35
0%
15.3%Mex$3,362.65Mex$1,701.58n/a22
Jul ’25Mex$1,753.84
Mex$2,201.36
+25.5%
14.4%Mex$3,230.87Mex$1,634.90n/a22
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$2,068.79
0%
14.0%Mex$3,029.00Mex$1,642.23n/a22
May ’25n/a
Mex$2,060.62
0%
14.0%Mex$3,010.94Mex$1,642.33n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$2,000.38
0%
14.4%Mex$2,947.58Mex$1,518.45n/a22
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$2,021.24
0%
14.5%Mex$2,989.21Mex$1,558.79n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$2,045.33
0%
14.4%Mex$3,030.81Mex$1,580.49n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$2,052.55
0%
14.7%Mex$3,056.66Mex$1,593.97n/a22
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$2,062.15
0%
15.2%Mex$3,067.69Mex$1,599.71n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$2,134.82
0%
13.1%Mex$3,052.99Mex$1,717.31Mex$1,614.2221
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$2,069.62
0%
13.1%Mex$2,944.70Mex$1,656.39Mex$1,620.8621
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$2,116.13
0%
12.5%Mex$2,979.35Mex$1,675.88n/a21
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$2,141.70
0%
12.7%Mex$2,939.86Mex$1,760.17n/a20
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$2,120.91
0%
13.5%Mex$2,953.94Mex$1,655.71Mex$1,753.8420
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$2,088.15
0%
14.8%Mex$2,965.23Mex$1,605.38n/a21
May ’24Mex$2,009.94
Mex$2,137.67
+6.4%
15.2%Mex$3,110.57Mex$1,684.07n/a21
Apr ’24Mex$1,900.00
Mex$2,096.68
+10.4%
15.9%Mex$3,088.75Mex$1,544.37n/a21
Mar ’24Mex$1,940.00
Mex$2,054.05
+5.9%
15.6%Mex$3,028.71Mex$1,554.20n/a21
Feb ’24Mex$1,903.71
Mex$2,089.22
+9.7%
16.2%Mex$3,109.30Mex$1,595.56n/a21
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$2,047.25
0%
19.0%Mex$3,149.63Mex$1,450.49n/a21
Dec ’23Mex$1,751.64
Mex$2,001.81
+14.3%
19.9%Mex$3,067.90Mex$1,412.85n/a21
Nov ’23Mex$1,551.73
Mex$1,961.96
+26.4%
19.3%Mex$2,960.72Mex$1,381.67n/a22

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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