SES S.A. (BDL:SESGL), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of 15% on the BDL over the last few months. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at SES’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for SES
What's The Opportunity In SES?
SES appears to be overvalued by 37% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €5.96 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of €4.36. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Another thing to keep in mind is that SES’s share price is quite stable relative to the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
What kind of growth will SES generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a relatively muted revenue growth of 3.0% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for SES, at least in the short term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? SESGL’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe SESGL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SESGL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - SES has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BDL:SESGL
SES
Provides satellite-based data transmission capacity and ancillary services worldwide.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.