Sampath Bank Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of SAMP.N0000 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

SAMP.N0000 (LKR93.7) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (LKR46.92)

Is SAMP.N0000 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAMP.N0000 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAMP.N0000 (LKR93.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (LKR46.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAMP.N0000 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAMP.N0000?

Key metric: As SAMP.N0000 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAMP.N0000. This is calculated by dividing SAMP.N0000's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAMP.N0000's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	4.5x
Earnings	LK₨24.28b
Market Cap	LK₨109.88b

SAMP.N0000 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAMP.N0000's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAMP.N0000 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	4.5x
HNB.N0000 Hatton National Bank	4.8x	n/a	LK₨126.1b
COMB.N0000 Commercial Bank of Ceylon	5.1x	1.0%	LK₨191.4b
NTB.N0000 Nations Trust Bank	3.4x	n/a	LK₨49.5b
DFCC.N0000 DFCC Bank	4.8x	n/a	LK₨37.3b
SAMP.N0000 Sampath Bank	4.5x	n/a	LK₨109.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAMP.N0000 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAMP.N0000's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Banks Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAMP.N0000 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the Asian Banks industry average (8.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAMP.N0000's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAMP.N0000 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	4.5x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SAMP.N0000's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAMP.N0000 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	LK₨93.70	LK₨128.40 +37.0%	3.7%	LK₨135.00	LK₨123.70	n/a	3
Nov ’25	LK₨87.90	LK₨128.40 +46.1%	3.7%	LK₨135.00	LK₨123.70	n/a	3
Oct ’25	LK₨78.50	LK₨127.20 +62.0%	4.8%	LK₨135.00	LK₨120.10	n/a	3
Sep ’25	LK₨70.20	LK₨127.80 +82.1%	5.0%	LK₨135.00	LK₨119.60	n/a	3
Aug ’25	LK₨75.50	LK₨127.80 +69.3%	5.0%	LK₨135.00	LK₨119.60	n/a	3
Jul ’25	LK₨77.60	LK₨109.00 +40.5%	30.3%	LK₨135.00	LK₨52.60	n/a	4
Jun ’25	LK₨78.40	LK₨100.33 +28.0%	33.8%	LK₨128.80	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
May ’25	LK₨81.40	LK₨100.33 +23.3%	33.8%	LK₨128.80	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
Apr ’25	LK₨77.90	LK₨100.33 +28.8%	33.8%	LK₨128.80	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
Mar ’25	LK₨72.90	LK₨87.50 +20.0%	28.3%	LK₨106.90	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
Feb ’25	LK₨70.10	LK₨87.50 +24.8%	28.3%	LK₨106.90	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
Jan ’25	LK₨70.50	LK₨87.50 +24.1%	28.3%	LK₨106.90	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
Dec ’24	LK₨69.80	LK₨86.03 +23.3%	27.5%	LK₨103.00	LK₨52.60	n/a	3
Nov ’24	LK₨66.50	LK₨77.80 +17.0%	32.4%	LK₨103.00	LK₨52.60	LK₨87.90	2
Oct ’24	LK₨70.00	LK₨77.80 +11.1%	32.4%	LK₨103.00	LK₨52.60	LK₨78.50	2
Sep ’24	LK₨70.10	LK₨77.80 +11.0%	32.4%	LK₨103.00	LK₨52.60	LK₨70.20	2
Aug ’24	LK₨75.00	LK₨71.30 -4.9%	26.2%	LK₨90.00	LK₨52.60	LK₨75.50	2
Jul ’24	LK₨55.90	LK₨65.42 +17.0%	26.6%	LK₨90.00	LK₨52.60	LK₨77.60	3
Jun ’24	LK₨49.90	LK₨57.09 +14.4%	6.0%	LK₨60.50	LK₨53.67	LK₨78.40	2
May ’24	LK₨48.20	LK₨57.09 +18.4%	6.0%	LK₨60.50	LK₨53.67	LK₨81.40	2
Apr ’24	LK₨52.50	LK₨57.09 +8.7%	6.0%	LK₨60.50	LK₨53.67	LK₨77.90	2
Mar ’24	LK₨50.74	LK₨57.09 +12.5%	6.0%	LK₨60.50	LK₨53.67	LK₨72.90	2
Feb ’24	LK₨42.06	LK₨57.09 +35.7%	6.0%	LK₨60.50	LK₨53.67	LK₨70.10	2
Jan ’24	LK₨33.37	LK₨57.09 +71.1%	6.0%	LK₨60.50	LK₨53.67	LK₨70.50	2
Dec ’23	LK₨35.13	LK₨52.50 +49.4%	15.2%	LK₨60.50	LK₨44.50	LK₨69.80	2
Nov ’23	LK₨34.15	LK₨52.50 +53.7%	15.2%	LK₨60.50	LK₨44.50	LK₨66.50	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.