The market rallied behind GSE Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:053050) stock, leading do a rise in the share price after its recent weak earnings report. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.
See our latest analysis for GSE
Examining Cashflow Against GSE's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
GSE has an accrual ratio of 0.28 for the year to September 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of ₩3.74b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₩30b in the last year. We also note that GSE's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₩30b.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of GSE.
Our Take On GSE's Profit Performance
GSE's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that GSE's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into GSE, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, GSE has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of GSE's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A053050
Low with imperfect balance sheet.
