The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that HMM Co.,Ltd (KRX:011200) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for HMMLtd
What Is HMMLtd's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, HMMLtd had ₩632.0b of debt, up from ₩474.1b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds ₩13t in cash, so it actually has ₩12t net cash.
How Strong Is HMMLtd's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that HMMLtd had liabilities of ₩2.63t due within a year, and liabilities of ₩2.56t falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩13t in cash and ₩1.10t in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₩8.43t more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that HMMLtd's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, HMMLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact HMMLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 90% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HMMLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. HMMLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, HMMLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 92% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case HMMLtd has ₩12t in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 92% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in ₩78b. So we don't think HMMLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that HMMLtd is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSE:A011200
HMMLtd
An integrated logistics company, provides shipping and logistics services worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.