Stock Analysis

Is CITECH (KRX:004920) A Risky Investment?

KOSE:A004920
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that CITECH Co., Ltd. (KRX:004920) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for CITECH

What Is CITECH's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, CITECH had ₩15.8b of debt, up from ₩5.55b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩3.54b, its net debt is less, at about ₩12.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A004920 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2020

How Strong Is CITECH's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CITECH had liabilities of ₩31.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩9.53b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩3.54b and ₩5.83b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩31.6b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩22.6b, we think shareholders really should watch CITECH's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CITECH will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, CITECH reported revenue of ₩46b, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, CITECH had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩2.9b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of ₩5.3b over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - CITECH has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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