Stock Analysis

We Think Model Solution (KOSDAQ:417970) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Model Solution Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:417970) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Model Solution

What Is Model Solution's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Model Solution had ₩11.4b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has ₩37.0b in cash, leading to a ₩25.6b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A417970 Debt to Equity History November 14th 2024

How Healthy Is Model Solution's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Model Solution had liabilities of ₩20.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩2.47b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩37.0b and ₩17.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast ₩31.4b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that Model Solution has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Model Solution boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Model Solution's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 100% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Model Solution's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Model Solution may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Model Solution recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Model Solution has net cash of ₩25.6b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Model Solution's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Model Solution has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KOSDAQ:A417970

Model Solution

Provides design, prototype, quick-turn tooling, low-volume production, and contract manufacturing services in South Korea and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.

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