Stock Analysis

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine SurplusGLOBAL, Inc. (KOSDAQ:140070)?

KOSDAQ:A140070
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SurplusGLOBAL, Inc. (KOSDAQ:140070), is not the largest company out there, but it led the KOSDAQ gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine SurplusGLOBAL’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for SurplusGLOBAL

What is SurplusGLOBAL worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 20.24x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 24.82x, which means if you buy SurplusGLOBAL today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe SurplusGLOBAL should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because SurplusGLOBAL’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from SurplusGLOBAL?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KOSDAQ:A140070 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 20th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by 48% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for SurplusGLOBAL. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? A140070’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at A140070? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on A140070, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for A140070, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SurplusGLOBAL (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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