Stock Analysis

Kaonmedia Co (KOSDAQ:078890) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

KOSDAQ:A078890
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kaonmedia Co, Ltd. (KOSDAQ:078890) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kaonmedia Co

What Is Kaonmedia Co's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kaonmedia Co had ₩104.1b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₩46.3b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩57.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A078890 Debt to Equity History December 9th 2020

A Look At Kaonmedia Co's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kaonmedia Co had liabilities of ₩179.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩26.4b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩46.3b in cash and ₩175.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast ₩15.4b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Kaonmedia Co is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Kaonmedia Co has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.2 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even worse, Kaonmedia Co saw its EBIT tank 51% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kaonmedia Co will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kaonmedia Co barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

Kaonmedia Co's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to handle its total liabilities isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Kaonmedia Co's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Kaonmedia Co (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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