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Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices Inc.'s (KOSDAQ:069540) 29% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
The Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices Inc. (KOSDAQ:069540) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies operating in Korea's Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may still consider Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
See our latest analysis for Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices
How Has Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices Performed Recently?
For instance, Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 58% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices' P/S
Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices' P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices (including 2 which make us uncomfortable).
If you're unsure about the strength of Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A069540
Lightron Fiber-Optic Devices
Engages in the manufacturing and selling of communication products in South Korea.